The Super Bowl features the best team in each conference. Seattle and New England mirror each other in their running games, solid quarterback play and total defense. Both offensive and defensive lines play better each week and the secondaries know when to shut down receivers. It is now time to reveal which team has the best chance of winning the Vince Lombardi trophy and why.
#1 Seattle Seahawks v. #2 New England Patriots
The NFC’s top seed and the AFC’s second seed both excel in running the ball, executing deep-ball plays and have a lot of speedy playmakers. These combinations may result in one of the best games of the year. It is an unexpected sequel to the championship matchup from 11 years ago. Although both head coaches have defensive-first philosophies (the first since Super Bowl 51), the names in this re-match are different.
Like the last time these teams met in Super Bowl 49, both the winner of this game and the champion of the 2025-26 season will be determined by which team’s defense makes the bigger plays and forces the quarterback to make more mistakes. Pass rush is the most important factor because of how well both teams run the ball. Seattle has better depth at the edge-rusher positions and at defensive tackle. One big disadvantage could be veteran linebacker DeMarcus Lawrence against left tackle Will Campbell. Lawrence is one of the best and smartest outside linebackers who is feared by several tackles. He finds ways to beat and get past them. Campbell was surprisingly the fourth overall pick in this year’s draft. He was picked higher than many predicted despite his shorter arms and wingspan. The Patriots have had a drop-back success rate of 39.8% and a rushing success rate of 31.7% in their three playoff games. That would have ranked second-to-last and last if it were during the regular season. Seattle’s front wall of Lawrence, Byron Murphy II, Jarran Reed, Brandon Pili, Uchenna Nwosu, Boye Mafe, Derick Hall and Leonard Williams ranked eighth in sacks and were third against the run. Any pass rush where the front four can generate tons of pressure without assistance is dangerous for any opposing offense. Believe they will take advantage of New England’s weaknesses almost every snap.
If Patriots quarterback Drake Maye finds open receivers and hangs in the pocket long enough to read the field, he’ll have to beat a deep Seahawks secondary. Receivers Stefon Diggs, Kayshon Boutte and Mack Hollins, and tight-ends Austin Hooper and Hunter Henry give most secondaries problems. They bring a lot of experience and precise route running. Seattle can easily counter with their defensive back depth that features Devon Witherspoon, Quandre Diggs, Coby Bryant, Josh Jobe, Julian Love, Ty Okada, Tariq Woolen, Shaquill Griffin, and defensive rookie of the year Nick Emmanwori. It will be hard for Maye to find a receiver who isn’t in double coverage every passing play.
On the opposite end, the Patriots front seven struggled to sack opposing quarterbacks throughout the season, but stepped up and averaged four in their last three playoff games. They’re sixth best against the run. However, New England hasn’t faced an offensive line like the Seahawks. Seattle’s whole line is healthy and has received high ratings against end rushers. The runningback tandem of Kenneth Walker III and George Holani will be a problem since the Patriots face a mismatch at the line of scrimmage.
The Seahawks passing attack has been one of the NFL’s best this season. Tight-ends A.J. Barner, Eric Saubert and Elijah Arroyo could dominate the middle of the field against the Patriots linebackers. Receivers like the 2026 Offensive Player of the Year and league leader in yards Jaxon Smith-Njigba, former Super Bowl MVP Cooper Kupp and deep-field threat Rashid Shaheed could be too much for New England’s Christian Gonzalez, Carlton Davis III and Marcus Jones. Smith-Njigba got the better of Gonzalez the last time they played and both Smith-Njigba and Kupp don’t give away routes or hints at the line of scrimmage. Quarterback Sam Darnold has had brutal games against the Patriots in the past, and with head coach Mike Vrabel having a similar playbook as his predecessor, there are valid reasons to believe Darnold could have a turnover filled game. Despite the valid takes, there is no doubt Vrabel will have his hands full against these receivers when he calls defensive plays.
As in every Super Bowl, coaching will determine who wins this game. Both Mike Vrabel and Mike Macdonald know how to make adjustments, listen to their players and get creative with play-calling. Although Vrabel is one of the best head coaches to come from the Bill Belichick tree, Macdonald gets the nod here. New England had the easiest schedule (via every NFL schedule predictor) in the regular and postseason. A season split versus the Buffalo Bills were the hardest games the Patriots played. Seattle played 12 teams that won eight games or more. Of those wins, three were against division winners and two versus division rivals with at least 12 wins in three attempts (each). The Seahawks maintained some of the NFL’s best stats despite playing some of the most complete teams start to finish.
Even the special teams units favor Seattle. The veteran, All-Pro caliber trio of kicker Jason Myers, punter Michael Dickson and returner Rashid Shaheed could tilt the game towards the Seahawks favor or get them a win in the final seconds. New England’s rookie kicker Andy Borregales will have more pressure to play perfect against one of the NFL’s best special teams.
Finally, Seattle’s stats after a bye week are resounding. Mike Macdonald is undefeated and the Seahawks have outscored opponents 99-37. They have never allowed more than 17 points as a defense or scored fewer than 20 points as an offense in those games. New England simply does not have enough talent or firepower to win this game.
Super Bowl 60 Winning Prediction: Seahawks win Super Bowl 31-17 and take home their second Vince Lombardi Trophy
Conference finals predictions record: 2-0
2026 overall playoffs record: 6-6
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