2024 WNBA First Half Analysis and Second Half Quick Takes

What a fun first half of the season. Ratings are higher than they’ve been in decades. A’ja Wilson is setting franchise and league records. The eight team playoff race will have an exciting finish. Then there’s the number of comeback wins we’ve lost count over. As the second half of the regular season begins tomorrow, let’s take a look at what stood out most before the All-Star break.

The kids are more than all right…they’re the real deal.

It’s a two player race for rookie of the year. Indiana’s Caitlin Clark (left) is a good scorer and might get the Fever’s record in assists for a season while Chicago’s Angel Reese (right) broke the league’s double-double record early July.

The 2024 WNBA draft was hyped as one of the biggest events for the league since 2008. Iowa’s Caitlin Clark, Stanford’s Cameron Brink, South Carolina’s Kamilla Cardoso and LSU’s Angel Reese were the big names. Not only did most teams exceed expectations with their picks, but a good number give veteran players fits.

Many thought Caitlin Clark would be good before the All-Star break. The first overall pick looks more comfortable in coach Christie Sides’ system alongside franchise anchor Aaliyah Boston. Angel Reese is the most impressive player as she’s second in the league in rebounds per game. Her play is a big reason the Chicago Sky have the last playoff spot. Reese also broke Candace Parker’s double-double streak less than two months into the season and held her own against the league’s best player A’ja Wilson (more on her soon). Cardoso and Brink both lead their teams in blocked shots (despite the latter out for the rest of the season with a torn ACL) and are the hardest rookies to defend against when they attack the basket.

Other pleasant surprises include Rickea Jackson and Aaliyah Edwards. Jackson is Los Angeles’ second leading scorer and rebounder after starting the season on the bench. Edwards continues improving on both offense and defense the more she plays for Washington. There hasn’t been a better WNBA rookie class ready to carry the league into a brighter future than this one.

It’s an A’ja Wilson world and we’re all living in it.

Olympic gold medal champion and most valuable player A’ja Wilson’s back from Paris, France ready to push Vegas back to the playoffs.

There also hasn’t been a more dominant all-around WNBA player since Sylvia Fowles in her 2017 season. Interestingly, Fowles was the hardest player Wilson played against her first few years in the league. Those one-on-one matchups turned Vegas’ superstar into the world’s best women’s basketball player and the face of the WNBA.

Wilson and the Aces started the season coming off two straight championships with a lot of questions on a possible three-peat. The Aces are a playoff contender because their superstar center carries them each game. Vegas might not have a deep playoff run, but with A’ja Wilson in the peak of her career and a 100% lock to win league MVP, it’ll take everything to knock the two time reigning champions out of the postseason.

The only thing holding the league back is the commissioner.

Many have complained about WNBA commissioner Cathy Engelbert’s leadership since she took over in 2019. If she wants to stay in power, Engelbert must continue growing the league and increasing pay for the players.

If you’re a first time reader, viewer or fan of anything WNBA related, the name Cathy Engelbert is one to remember. Engelbert has been the current commissioner of the league since 2019. Most of the well educated fans and a good number of players don’t like Engelbert because of how she’s held the league back despite massive pushes for salary raises, charter flights and increased advertisement revenues.

So far, the league’s massive growth (despite some miscalculated blunders) are mostly due to a surge in new fans and more exciting games. The one thing holding back future success after this season are mishaps and terrible decision making from the WNBA’s commissioner. Owners from New York to Las Vegas have been pushing for higher player salaries going back to pre-pandemic days, but Cathy Engelbert nixed a lot of these decisions opting instead to pay more money to executives and finalize puzzling t.v. deals. The WNBA needs to keep increasing team salaries as money keeps pouring in. If Engelbert can’t find the balance between satisfying the players, advertisers and fans, she must step down.

Expansion came at the perfect time.

Anticipation of UConn’s Paige Bueckers going to the WNBA next year coincides with two new franchises entering the league.

One thing commissioner Cathy Engelbert moved fast on was adding expansion teams due to the leagues continual growth after the COVID-19 pandemic. There are a lot of talented basketball players not in the WNBA because there aren’t enough teams or enough roster space. The league finally approved two new franchises in May. Both can start business activities soon and play the 2025 regular season.

The approval’s significant because a lot of talented players are set to join the league next year. Teams will scramble for UConn’s Paige Bueckers, USC’s JuJu Watkins and LSU’s Aneesah Morrow as franchise stars to build around. New teams could lead to extra players on each roster, guaranteeing foreign stars Emma Meesseman and Gabby Williams can come back and compete for a permanent depth spot.

The Diamond Dozen: Time for one view for each team. The view can range from improvement to an easier transition during the second half of the season.

Atlanta Dream: Franchise star center Tina Charles becoming the third highest scoring WNBA player all-time might be the only bright spot in the Dream’s season. Despite having Aerial Powers, Cheyenne Parker-Tyus, Rhyne Howard and Allisha Gray on the roster, Atlanta’s won seven of their 24 games. There’s still time for a turn-around but if the Dream miss the playoffs they have to hire a new coach. Charles deserves at least one more chance to get close to the WNBA Finals and it can’t be with a team that lost all but three games in June and July.

Chicago Sky: What a perfect trade before the All-Star game. Marina Mabrey was a hefty trade then-coach and general manager James Wade made before the 2023 season. Shipping Mabrey off to Connecticut for two future first round picks was excellent. Chicago getting Rachel Banham and Moriah Jefferson in the trade is a big win for the franchise. The Sky now have four solid guards and won’t have to press the Most Improved Player of the Year Chennedy Carter every night to average a double-double. This could be the breakout team if coach Teresa Witherspoon figures out how to use center Kamilla Cardoso as a bully on both sides of the ball.

Connecticut Sun: The trade for Marina Mabrey shows viewers it’s title or bust for a franchise that’s been to the finals multiple times but can’t win when it matters most. Thankfully Mabrey is expected to be a three-point shooter and not lead the offense. It’ll be interesting how her style fits with DeWanna Bonner at guard and who she defends when DiJonai Carrington and Alyssa Thomas lock up the best opposing players.

Dallas Wings: We can debate who the Wings should’ve drafted before the 2024 season began and the season-ending injuries at forward all we want, but it doesn’t change Dallas’ position. While the second half returns of forwards Satou Sabally, Maddy Siegrist and Jaelyn Brown are a plus, cutting the team’s second leading scorer Odyssey Sims and Monique Billings damage roster depth. They’re tied for the league’s worst record with a stubborn coach in Latricia Trammell and an abhorrent general manager in Travis Charles. Franchise cornerstone Arike Ogunbowale wowed everyone in the All-Star game and leads the league in scoring with little to show in the win column. There has to be pressure put on the organization to hire new, competent management and retain quality scoring depth.

Indiana Fever: Indiana has more wins than many serious analysts thought they would at the All-Star break. There was also a lot of pressure for coach Christie Sides to do something with this roster. The additional storylines, rumors and body language of the players weren’t helping Sides’ decisions. The Fever must start the second half by showing viewers the run before All-Star weekend wasn’t a fluke. If Indiana wants to end the season on a high note and make the playoffs, they have to improve or fix some of the team defense. It’s atrocious each game.

Las Vegas Aces: If not for MVP front-runner and league’s best player A’ja Wilson, the Aces would be in serious trouble. There’s little roster depth and the team struggles to find consistency at either forward position. Now the lawsuit from former Ace and current Los Angeles Spark Dearica Hamby could jeopardize many jobs at the coaching and managerial positions. There couldn’t be more pressure to play better once the second half of the season starts. I’m sure all four of Vegas’ Olympic champions weren’t thrilled to be counted on this early after hearing this news.

Los Angeles Sparks: There’s no team in a worse position than Los Angeles. Second overall pick Cameron Brink’s ACL injury exposes a major defensive hole with little depth at center. The Sparks have to play up-tempo offense against veteran defenses, and their best scorer is rookie Rickea Jackson. On the positive, Los Angeles should lock up a high draft pick and probably land another franchise cornerstone player. The trio of whoever’s picked with Jackson and a returning Brink for 2025 makes the Sparks an attractive option for veterans wanting to win.

Minnesota Lynx: What a polar season for coach Cheryl Reeves. Reeves has been excellent leading the Lynx to a first place tie in the west. Despite the Olympic gold medal, Team U.S.A. won despite Reeves coaching on the bench. Maybe it’s due to other countries catching up, but it’s something to watch the second half of the season.

New York Liberty: New York’s nagging issue is how hard they want to consistently play. When the Liberty are locked in and focused, they’re the best team in the W. New York lost last year’s finals because they had mental lapses, just like they’ve had against younger, inexperienced teams like Indiana and Chicago this season. They can’t do that in a series against a more physical opponent like Connecticut.

Phoenix Mercury: Despite a 13-12 record entering the second half of the season, Phoenix is one of the more dangerous teams. Center Brittney Griner looks great on both sides of ball and the Mercury have the best clutch performer in Kahleah Copper. Like several teams mentioned, roster depth could hold Phoenix back from a chance at the finals but they’ll make it hard for whichever team knocks them out.

Seattle Storm: Seattle’s starting five plays well against most of the 11 teams. The glaring hole is roster depth, especially at guard. The drop off is pivotal for how far the Storm go in the playoffs. Current coach and three time champion Noelle Quinn should press for roster moves before the start of September.

Washington Mystics: Thankfully the Mystics were more competitive and won all of their seven games the last two months. It won’t be enough for a playoff run, but Washington should continue working the Ariel Atkins-Aaliyah Edwards duo and try finding a center close to Stefanie Dolson’s caliber (if she doesn’t return) in the offseason.

The ever dangerous Ezi Magbegor (13) is one of Seattle’s best players. The Storm depend on her elite defense and offensive attacks to overwhelm opponents.

2024 Copa America Final Prediction

The semi finals were fantastic. While none of the matches went to overtime, there were multiple fights both on and off the pitch after Colombia eliminated Uruguay. It will be difficult for the final to surpass the drama and excitement. The remaining two teams are the best and have few weaknesses. This is an elimination match, meaning a tie after regulation leads to penalty kicks to decide the winner. Before picks are made, the numbers are for which team placed where in their assigned group. Here is the prediction for which team wins the championship and the Copa America trophy.

1A Argentina v. 1D Colombia

Colombia’s 28 straight matches without a loss is the longest active unbeaten streak in men’s international football.

What a contrast in the Copa America championship final. Argentina was easily the best team in both groups A and B, cruising to an easy finals appearance. Many believed Colombia was a dark-horse championship candidate in groups C and D with well-known countries like Brazil and Uruguay as their main competition. Las Cafeteras went through harder opponents than El Albiceleste.

Match deciding factor: Emiliano Martinez, Lisandro Martinez, Marcos Acuna, Cristian Romero and Argentina’s defense versus James Rodriguez, Luis Diaz, Jhon Cordoba, Miguel Borja and Colombia’s offense.

Argentina clinched their spot in the final with goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez shutting out all but one opponent. Great defense from Lisandro Martinez, Marcos Acuna and Cristian Romero made transition scoring on offense easier against teams like Canada and Peru. El Albiceleste hasn’t faced too much offensive pressure outside of Ecuador trying to send the quarterfinals to penalty kicks.

As many read from my last predictions and then watched versus Uruguay, Colombia’s chasing greatness with a roster in its prime. Las Cafeteras use constant offensive pressure, no matter the opponent. When Uruguay had an 11-on-10 men advantage in the second half of the semifinals, Colombia almost scored three more goals. They also performed well on defense. The semi-finals was the first round Las Cafeteras had to play defensive for at least one half and hold a shutout lead.

Argentina’s great on every side of the ball but they haven’t played an opponent that constantly pushes back and sets their own pace on both sides of the pitch. Captain James Rodriguez, Luis Diaz, Jhon Cordoba and Miguel Borja have the talent to stress out El Albiceleste’s defense and the tactics to douse Argentina’s spirit.

Prediction: Colombia wins 4-1 and takes home their second Copa America championship

Semifinals predictions record: 2-0

Total Copa America Predictions Record: 11-3

2024 UEFA Euros Final Prediction

The semi-finals were fantastic. Both teams that advanced trailed at one point in their matches. It will be difficult for the final to surpass the excitement. The remaining two teams are the best and have few weaknesses. This is an elimination match, meaning overtime and penalty kicks will decide which team wins the championship. Before the pick is made, the numbers are for which team placed where in their assigned group. Here is the prediction for which team wins the championship and the UEFA Euros trophy.

1B Spain v. 1C England

Teenage star Lamine Yamal (red) surprised everyone by sniping a goal past the French defense in the semi-finals, leading a comeback victory for Spain.

This is an uneven matchup. Spain has won every match played, dominating on every side of the ball. England’s mostly struggled to score until late in matches. Spanish manager Luis de la Fuente has found the best players and has used roster depth as an advantage. English manager Gareth Southgate depends on multiple groups of substitutions to push England to a win. At least he finally figured out which players to put in their correct positions.

Match deciding factor: Dani Carvajal, Marc “Cucurella” Saseta, Robin le Normand, Jose Ignacio “Nacho” Fernández Iglesias and the Spanish defense v. Harry Kane, Bukayo Saka, Phil Foden, Cole Palmer and the English offense.

Both managers and teams must adapt and counter the deep rosters and substitutions made once the second half begins. England has the deeper offense while Spain has the deeper defense. Manager Luis de la Fuente has seen and gotten more out of La Roja’s roster while manager Gareth Southgate’s finally putting players (like Phil Foden) in their correct positions and continually botches playing time for star players (like captain Harry Kane).

Spain’s defense gets a boost with elite defender Dani Carvajal coming back from suspension. The defensive quartet of Carvajal, Marc “Cucurella” Saseta, Robin le Normand and Jose Ignacio “Nacho” Fernández Iglesias consistently disrupts the best offenses in Europe. Kane’s struggled with his hustle, positioning, and longer minutes most of the tournament while Phil Foden’s struggled to play different parts of the pitch. Fortunately for the Three Lions, Bukayo Saka and Cole Palmer have been the main playmakers in previous elimination matches.

England can’t give up the first goal of the match just to play catch up because they have the talent to do so at any given time. La Roja’s mastered how to attack every team this tournament and shuts down anyone on defense. Don’t be surprised if Spain dominates start to finish with little to no errors on either side of the ball.

Prediction: Spain wins 2-1 and takes home their fourth Euros championship trophy

Semifinals predictions record: 2-0

Total Euros prediction record: 20-8