2024 AFC Wild Card Weekend Playoff Picks

The 2023-2024 NFL regular season is over. 14 teams in two conferences (seven in each) have a chance at winning the Vince Lombardi championship trophy. For those unfamiliar with the updated playoff format, an extra team was added. That means there’s one bye week for the top seeded team in each conference and a Monday night playoff game. Everyone wants to know which three teams in the AFC advance to the divisional round, so here are the best picks come Saturday.

#5 Cleveland Browns v. #4 Houston Texans

The resurgence of Joe Flacco’s career (15, white) has many picking Cleveland to go far in the postseason. Flacco has never lost a wildcard weekend game he’s started.

This regular season matchup was a one sided game where Houston didn’t have rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud IV. The Browns did any and everything they wanted to, embarrassing the Texans until the game was out of reach. Trust Houston’s rookie duo of Stroud and head coach DeMeco Ryans to perform a lot better after re-watching the film and making adjustments.

Unfortunately for the Texans, it won’t matter. Cleveland has the better defense, offensive line and postseason quarterback in Joe Flacco, who’s never lost a wildcard game and ended his last postseason run with a championship.

Prediction: Browns win 27-20

#6 Miami Dolphins v. #3 Kansas City Chiefs

Miami’s Tyreek Hill will be the main focus of Kansas City’s hard-hitting secondary. The sub-zero temperatures and no Jaylen Waddle could be the Dolphins’ undoing.

Miami lost crucial games that could have locked up the east and a first round bye. The Dolphins didn’t win their division, so they’re awarded a first round trip to Kansas City in freezing temperatures against a well-rested Chiefs team.

While Miami is reeling from injuries, Kansas City finished top ten in passing yards and has one of the best defenses in the league. It’ll be hard for the undermanned Dolphins to play four focused quarters in one of the league’s loudest stadiums.

Prediction: Chiefs win 24-13

#7 Pittsburgh Steelers v. #2 Buffalo Bills

The AFC’s best player this wildcard round is arguably Buffalo’s Josh Allen. The Bills quarterback led a top ten offense in passing and total offense.

Pittsburgh head coach Mike Tomlin kept his streak of not having a losing season alive thanks to starting third string quarterback Mason Rudolph the last three games of the regular season. The Steelers are rewarded by playing the second hottest team in the conference. Tomlin’s defense will be without star linebacker T.J. Watt, but free safety Minkah Fitzpatrick will return.

Buffalo’s Josh Allen has been one of the NFL’s best players since Thanksgiving, guiding the Bills from three games out of first place to decisively winning the AFC East last Sunday. Receivers Stefon Diggs, Dalton Kinkaid and Dawson Knox will face little resistance against a banged up secondary.

Prediction: Bills win 37-20

2023 regular season playoff picks record: 3-3

A Quick, Happy Message

As writer, editor and publisher for this website, I’d like to wish you all a Happy New Year, and to a wonderful 2024.

I’ve appreciated everyone’s support since this blog has taken off. Ratings doubled in 2023, including readers from at least a dozen new countries viewing my work. I’m looking forward towards more growth this season and to see if I can break more records.

Most importantly, the feedback is always encouraged and needed. Starting this month (and soon), the first ever monthly power rankings for both the NBA and NHL will take place. These new features will join the NFL postseason game picks to encompass how busy and exciting the winter sports season is.

I hope you all enjoy January and get some goals and expectations accomplished. There will be more updates regarding connecting websites for the future.

NFL Week 15 Winners and Losers

After many weeks of waiting, teams are finally clinching playoff berths. Some teams secured their divisions and have chances at the number one playoff seed. Even more exciting are the teams that had chances to clinch and couldn’t, setting up more anticipation for the holidays. It’s time to see who or what else stood out most for week 15.

Winners: Jake Browning

Cincinnati’s backup quarterback hasn’t just won the games he’s started the past three weeks, he’s been the better passer. Jake Browning is undefeated in his three starts for the Bengals, changing the AFC playoff picture.

Many assumed after franchise star Joe Burrow was put on injured reserve with a torn ligament in his throwing wrist that Cincinnati would finish last in their division. It couldn’t be more opposite with Browning under center. He’s elevated head coach Zac Taylor’s offense, averaging 32 points per game in three needed wins against playoff hopefuls Jacksonville, Indianapolis and Minnesota.

Many AFC teams are struggling with multiple backup quarterbacks, poor offensive play-calling and holding leads in the second half of divisional games. The Bengals have dodged all three of these issues with a confident Jake Browning leading the offense. While two of their remaining three games are against divisional opponents with similar postseason hopes, Cincinnati is in a better position to lock up one of the three wild-card spots.

Jacoby Brissett’s chance to be a starter again

Washington’s loss in Los Angeles might have sealed head coach Ron Rivera’s fate, but it didn’t seal backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett’s. The eight year veteran played less than a quarter and almost stole a win against the Rams.

Brissett came in with seven minutes remaining and the Commanders down 28-7. He finished both drives completing eight of ten passes for 124 yards, two touchdowns and an almost perfect passer rating. Los Angeles squeaked out a 28-20 win.

Jacoby Brissett has been an unfortunate journeyman passer the last five years. When given the chance, he can lead teams and give them hope for a postseason run. The high number of injured quarterbacks this season will make Brissett a popular target for general managers once the offseason begins.

James Cook

It was appropriate for Bills quarterback Josh Allen to tell the press after a dominant home win against Dallas that, “the win for me was like getting an ‘A’ on a group project when you did nothing.” On offense, James Cook put most of the work in for that ‘A’.

Cook diced Dallas’ defense all four quarters Sunday. He ran 25 times for 179 yards and a touchdown. He also had two catches for 42 yards and caught Allen’s only passing touchdown. His seven yards per run took so much time off the clock, Buffalo posted the fastest final of the late afternoon games.

The Bills have needed a runningback to take pressure off Allen from constantly making big plays. James Cook is quietly less than 200 yards away from a 1,000 yard rushing season. Buffalo might have found their young, franchise runningback that can attack defenses in a dimension the team hadn’t been able to do in prior years.

Baltimore Ravens (and yes, John Harbaugh’s coaching)

The first team in the AFC to clinch a playoff spot Sunday was Baltimore. After constant criticism against head coach John Harbaugh, he’s led the Ravens to a conference best eleven wins.

Baltimore took advantage of every Jacksonville blunder Sunday night. While the Jaguars wasted four scoring opportunities, Ravens quarterback and leading MVP candidate Lamar Jackson dazzled audiences with his performance. The team has dealt with injured play-makers on both sides of the ball this season but the difference is coach Harbaugh making all the right decisions that eluded him in 2022.

The Ravens have a top five scoring offense and total defense. The offense is also top ten in time of possession and total yards per game. Both upper management and the coaches took last year’s failures seriously and made necessary upgrades to make sure there wasn’t a repeat of last year’s monthly embarrassments. Baltimore is a true, Super Bowl favorite before Christmas.

Losers: Mike Tomlin

Consistency in sports journalism is something audiences look for and hold in high regard. Just as there was harsh criticism towards John Harbaugh, so there should be for head coach Mike Tomlin.

Saturday’s loss in Indianapolis when the Steelers had a 13 point lead might be the lowest point of Pittsburgh’s season. While the offense, led by backup quarterback Mitchell Trubisky started off with two easy touchdowns, nothing after went right. Despite firing unpopular coordinator Matt Canada last month, Pittsburgh’s gotten worse in almost every offensive category. Part of that is because starting quarterback Kenny Pickett’s missing time with an ankle injury. It’s believable if the Steelers’ problems were just on offense. However, star players on defense have also gone out with injuries. The defense is missing three impactful players and mostly plays better than an offense that won’t average more than 16 points a game.

A new issue creeping in is lack of discipline. The ejection of safety Damontae Kazee due to his vicious tackling of Colts receiver Michael Pittman Jr. adds to the growing concern of Tomlin’s management the past two months. Previously it was receiver George Pickens making media headlines with his angry tirades of not being involved in the offense. Now players on defense are getting ejected (and suspended by the league) for making dangerous plays.

Audiences who have watched the Steelers play the last few seasons will admit they’re one of the worst teams to watch almost every weekend. The organization has to consider serious changes on every level, including a head coach who’s helped re-build a roster that hasn’t won a playoff game since 2016.

Tennessee Titans

For anyone who watches a team lead by double digit points and wonder, “What’s the worst that could happen?”, Tennessee’s home loss to rival Houston (while wearing throwback jerseys of Houston’s original football team) will become a definition of what possibly could go wrong for many years.

After the Titans took a 13 point lead to start the second quarter, things went downhill. First, the Texans tied their rival late by scoring their only touchdown of the afternoon. Tennessee had led most of the game until Noah Brown caught the three yard score from Case Keenum. Rookie and possible franchise quarterback Will Levis struggled to evade defensive linemen and almost left with a serious injury. The Titans couldn’t move the ball past 19 yards on any of their second half possessions.

Things have gotten worse as not only the loss officially eliminated Tennessee from the postseason but star runningback Derrick Henry tweeted cryptic messages indicating he could move on if the organization doesn’t make necessary changes before January. Merry Christmas Titans fans.

Green Bay Packers

Heading into last Monday night, Packers head coach Matt LaFleur hadn’t lost in the month of December since his hiring in 2019. In one week, LaFleur’s lost two games against teams Green Bay was nationally favored to beat.

The Packers are in the thick of the playoff race and recently won two important games in Kansas City and Detroit. The confidence and good feelings Green Bay had after those wins are gone after being dominated against Tommy DeVito and Baker Mayfield-led offenses.

It’s easy to forget at times the Packers have one of the NFL’s youngest rosters. Audiences will wonder from a competitive viewpoint where would the team be if they focused on and won games against inferior opponents in one week. The losses sting more when looking at the close NFC North divisional standings and knowing the Packers own some tie-breakers.

Whoever decides to watch Christmas Eve’s Sunday night game

Christmas Eve is a wonderful time of year. Family, christmas carols, It’s a Wonderful Life and wrapping presents are what most people in the United States focus on before having a lovely holiday.

Any sane or rational minded person would also decide not to watch New England play Denver on Sunday night. The Patriots are trying their best to set NFL offensive standards back at least 50 years while Sean Payton either verbally grills his quarterback or whatever poor referees call penalties against his team.

The league decided not to flex New England’s win against Pittsburgh on Amazon two weeks ago and paid for it with low ratings. Perhaps we can all write to Roger Goodell (and Santa Claus! Think of the children!) to encourage more flexing of primetime games, no matter what network airs them. Two years of bad American football on Christmas is enough for one’s lifetime.

Notes: The writer, editor and publisher is officially on break with the publishing of this article. This is the last Winners and Losers for the NFL season. Wild-card weekend playoff picks will be up before January 13th.

Happy Holidays to you all. Many thanks to those who have read, liked, commented on and shared jdsportscorner.com articles this year. The first post of 2024 will contain updates of my growing writing career in the sports journalism field. May you all enjoy the rest of 2023.

Mike Holmgren on Jamal Adams: ‘Sometimes you just have to eat the money’

Seahawks strong safety Jamal Adams is rapidly approaching Clay Bennett levels of infamy on the Seattle sports scene. Adams came to the Seahawks in an ill-conceived trade in July of 2020, a deal which included sending two first-round draft picks to the Jets. Later, Adams signed what was at the time the richest contract for a safety in NFL history. Then, the injuries began taking their toll. Next, Adams got even worse in coverage. Finally, Adams started taking out his frustrations on beat reporters’ wives on Twitter.

Needless to say, fans have had about enough of No. 33 and are desperate to get rid of him this coming offseason, no matter the cost. It would be a considerable one, though. No team will take on Adams’ contract so the only way out is to cut him. However, that move would come with over $20 million in dead money over the next two years.

It’s a steep price to pay to get rid of a three-time Pro Bowl defender who’s still highly-effective around the box. Some folks think it’s worth it, though. That includes former Seahawks head coach Mike Holmgren. Speaking on 93.3 KJR radio yesterday, Holmgren said he had to release good players that were hurting the team and sometimes you have to eat the money.

Coach Holmgren on what the #Seahawks could or should do re: Jamal Adams:

“I’ve been in position where I’ve had to release good players that were hurting the team. And sometimes you just have to eat the money.”

On Pete and John re: Jamal:

“I trust them, they both have each…

— 93.3 KJR (@933KJR) December 13, 2023

Cutting Adams should probably be high on the team’s list of priorities once the offseason begins – but it can’t end there. Writing off Adams should be part of a larger shedding process of getting rid of burdensome contracts for veterans on the back end of Seattle’s defense. While Quandre Diggs is an excellent safety, he’s had a bad year. Soon to be 31 years old, cutting Diggs would also carry a brutal dead money penalty, but it would save $11 million in cap space for the 2024 season.

The Seahawks also have to consider a total reset at linebacker, where both Bobby Wagner and Jordyn Brooks are about to become free agents. Wagner will always be our favorite defender in franchise history, but he’s become a liability in coverage too often and re-signing him is probably not worth the investment considering his age and the team’s situation. Brooks is much younger and may be worth re-signing after his huge step forward this year – but there’s also a case for letting him walk and starting over with a couple of linebackers on rookie contracts.

Once the dead weight at linebacker and safety has been shed, the Seahawks need to shift whatever resources they have saved towards their offensive and defensive lines – which is the biggest obstacle between them and the contenders they’ve been losing to lately. Radically upgrading both sides of the line of scrimmage is a non-negotiable prerequisite for catching up with heavyweights like the 49ers, Cowboys, Ravens and Eagles.

Then again, we feel this team’s greatest problems are not on the field but rather in the booth and on the sidelines. We have a tremendous amount of respect for what Pete Caroll has accomplished and he’s still better than average at his job. That said, he’s out of his league against two much younger head coaches within his own division and the odds of returning to the Super Bowl after a 10-year layover are extremely slim. The Seahawks likely won’t get back to the top of the mountain unless they have somebody else leading them.

NFL Week 14 Winners and Losers

The fourteenth week of the regular season eliminated teams from playoff contention and solidified division leaders. The postseason is a month away and most teams are getting ready for a higher playoff seed or the offseason. Time to break down who’s closer to wild-card weekend and who’s ready for a top five position in the draft.

Winners: David Njoku

The main story out of Cleveland after a crucial home win against Jacksonville will be the re-emergence of 38 year old quarterback Joe Flacco. A story more people should follow is tight end David Njoku being Flacco’s go-to receiver and a reason the Browns had an early double-digit lead. They never trailed Sunday afternoon.

The former first round pick had all six catches for 91 yards and two touchdowns in one half. Commentator Charles Davis said during a ten play Cleveland drive in the fourth quarter that, “the Browns offense looks different without Njoku being involved in this half” after Jacksonville narrowed down the lead.

The 38 year old Flacco has been named the starting quarterback the remainder of the season. Expect David Njoku to be the top receiving threat every game regardless of opponent.

Chicago Bears offense

Chicago’s offense has been one of the league’s better stories since the Thursday night win in Washington D.C. Quarterback Justin Fields proves every week why he should remain the face of the franchise. Even when the NFC North-leading Lions led at halftime, the Bears looked the better and more confident team.

Fields completed 19 of 33 passes for 223 yards and one touchdown for an 88.3 quarterback rating. His 12 rushes for 58 yards and another score kept Detroit’s defense off balance. The sophomore quarterback continues building chemistry with the receiving trio of D.J. Moore, Cole Kmet and Darnell Mooney, even if it’s taken longer than many expected. Now there’s solid running depth contributing rather than Justin Fields doing everything.

Credit goes to offensive coordinator Luke Getsy for having the right plan in place for gradual, regular season improvements even after wins. Getsy gets blasted in the media for strange play-calling and decisions, but Chicago is still a top three rushing team in the league and a better passing team the last two months. The Bears also end 2023 with an easier schedule. Optimism will grow heading into next season.

Zach Wilson

The former 2021 number two overall pick was re-named the starting Jets quarterback after horrid performances from Tim Boyle and Trevor Siemian. He could either make the most of the opportunity or play with no confidence. He did the former and had a career day against a Texans team 90% of the country thought would win.

Wilson left no doubt who the better quarterback and former second overall pick was in a lopsided home win against Houston. His touchdown throw to Randall Cobb gave the Jets their first lead of the game. His second to Breece Hall cemented a double-digit win.

The win builds confidence heading into the last month of the regular season. Wilson led New York to 30 points against the 12th best scoring defense led by coach of the year candidate DeMeco Ryans. If Wilson can have a few more consistent performances, there’s a chance he stays on the roster and continues learning from Aaron Rodgers when the former MVP returns.

Dallas Cowboys

Many analysts criticized Dallas for not playing their best against teams with winning records. After a thrilling Thursday night win against Seattle almost two weeks ago, the Cowboys put a beatdown on Philadelphia Sunday night.

Dallas wasted no time grabbing the early lead on their first offensive possession. Quarterback Dak Prescott was 14 of 23 for 157 yards with two passing touchdowns in the first half. The Cowboys won by 20 and held the Jalen Hurts-led offense to six points.

It’s been a polar trajectory since the Eagles beat Dallas in week nine. While Philadelphia is having issues with turnovers, health and replicating last year’s success, the Cowboys are peaking. Their undefeated record the last five games, points per game (40) and third down percentage (53%) are at least tied for first in the NFL while they’re second in yards per game with 437. Dallas now has a better record than Detroit, and Philadelphia may not win their last four games to keep the division lead. Defensive coordinator Dan Quinn has one of the best units in stopping opponents, forcing turnovers and pressuring quarterbacks. Unless injuries pile up, the Cowboys are the NFC’s most dangerous team outside Santa Clara.

Losers: Arthur Smith

Atlanta’s head coach Arthur Smith was hired to re-build an offense that needed new direction and fresh faces after franchise icon Matt Ryan was traded. While the Falcons are just one game under .500, Smith’s 24th ranked offense includes super-stars at runningback, tight-end and wide receiver.

The former offensive coordinator is stubbornly out-thinking himself in how to use the bastion of talent acquired in previous off-seasons. The versatile Cordarelle Patterson is averaging lows at receiving and rushing that was last seen in 2015 during his mismanagement in Minnesota. Former 2021 fifth overall pick Kyle Pitts has five touchdowns in not even three seasons. Smith believes a top receiving threat such as Pitts should be blocking for sophomore fifth round pick Tyler Allgeier. Normally, Allgeier would be a great addition for any team, but because Atlanta drafted runningback Bijan Robinson with the eighth pick in this year’s draft, that decision is slowing down an offense that scored at least 24 points the first two games of the season. Robinson averages five yards a carry and was a reason the Falcons were undefeated after week two. These talented players Smith doesn’t use often have given Atlanta enough scoring opportunities to stay in the NFC South race for months.

The Falcons’ schedule has been one of the easiest on paper. Yet coach Arthur Smith makes game-planning difficult. Since the amount of first round talent and play-makers aren’t seeing the field as much as they should, Atlanta’s upper management should make a coaching change after the regular season.

Doug Pederson

Speaking of bad coaching, Doug Pederson turned some heads when he decided the injured face of the franchise Trevor Lawrence should start in Cleveland against the NFL’s best defense. That went as many expected.

While the Browns defense didn’t injure Lawrence any worse, the Jaguars weren’t going to win with him. Lawrence threw a few touchdowns to Evan Engram, narrowing Cleveland’s lead late. It didn’t matter as the Browns sealed the win midway through the fourth quarter.

Pederson has to be careful with the health of star franchise players. It mirrors similar, poor decisions made in Philadelphia that led to his exit. Many will know next Sunday night in Jacksonville’s showdown against Baltimore if he makes similar choices.

Kansas City Chiefs

While there are fiery news headlines from the Buffalo-Kansas City game, the Chiefs offense was anything but dominant. What many expected to be a one-sided Kansas City win was filled with penalties, offensive blunders and the Chiefs sideline holding back their offensive captain from starting a fight with referees.

Many will blame the officials for calling one offsides penalty on Kansas City’s Kadarius Toney, negating a lead-changing touchdown but missing another two plays later on Buffalo’s Von Miller. That’s an easy excuse when in reality, everyone who’s watched the Chiefs offense has heard a broadcasting crew almost every week openly diss them with the view that whoever scores 20 points first will win. The latest duo to talk about this was CBS’ top pair Jim Nantz and Tony Romo when Kansas City tried taking the lead their last offensive possession.

The play-calling from offensive coordinator Matt Nagy gets worse every week (where have we heard this before?). The number of offsides, holding and false start penalties negates any offensive rhythm. According to ESPN’s Scott Van Pelt, yesterday’s offensive offsides penalty from Kadarius Toney was the first called against an Andy Reid-led team since he became a head coach. Reid has called over 25,100 plays over two decades. The two time Super Bowl winning coach has also cost the team by giving serious playing time to poor receivers such as Toney and Marquez Valdes-Scantling. It’s no wonder quarterback Patrick Mahomes II lost his cool and went after the officials even after the game ended.

D.K. Metcalf

Metcalf is one of the most talented receivers in the league. His desire to win and dominate opposing secondaries is a desired quality any team covets. Unfortunately these traits are doing more harm than good during Seattle’s four game losing streak.

It was no surprise D.K. Metcalf again got in serious trouble with the officials late in Sunday’s loss in Santa Clara. Fred Warner’s interception of Seahawks quarterback Drew Lock resulted in him having to shove Metcalf to gain more yardage. The receiver felt victimized and after both talked trash to each other, 49ers cornerback Deommodore Lenoir decided to join in. Metcalf yanked Lenoir by the facemask and shoved him back. The receiver found another way to lose his cool after being a non-factor in a mostly competitive game.

Cornerback Charvarius Ward, who shut down D.K. Metcalf in the first meeting in Seattle, left in the first half Sunday with a groin injury. Yet Metcalf had just two catches for 52 yards and a touchdown before he was ejected.

Many cornerbacks, and now coaches have realized Seattle’s most talented offensive player will lash out and commit stupid penalties, turn physically aggressive, assault nearby defenders, or argue with teammates and coaches when he’s not the focal point of offensive gameplans or one possession games. There had been a balance on how to ease Metcalf back into a better gameplan after those losses. Now there’s a disruption on how to appease the most emotional offensive player even after a win. The coaches and organization have to figure out how to stop this from happening at least twice a month.

Seahawks-Cowboys Thursday night game sets record for Prime Video and NFL streaming

Associated Press

Mon, December 4, 2023 at 3:25 PM CST·1 min read

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Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Brandin Cooks (3) catches a pass for a first down as Seattle Seahawks safety Jamal Adams (33) defends in the first half of an NFL football game in Arlington, Texas, Thursday, Nov. 30, 2023. (AP Photo/Roger Steinman) (ASSOCIATED PRESS)

LOS ANGELES (AP) — The Dallas Cowboys’ 41-35 victory over the Seattle Seahawks on Thursday night set a record as the most-streamed game in NFL history as well as setting a new mark as the most-watched game on Amazon Prime Video.

The previous standard for both was the Sept. 14 game between the Minnesota Vikings and Philadelphia Eagles.

According to Nielsen and Amazon, the game averaged 15.26 million on Prime Video and on local broadcast stations in Seattle and Dallas. That surpassed the 15.1 million that watched Vikings-Eagles.

The streaming-only number was 11.1 million on Prime Video, Twitch and NFL+. The old mark was 10.4 million.

Through 11 weeks, “Thursday Night Football” is averaging 12.58 million, a 29% increase over last season.

NFL Week 13 Winners and Losers

The first weekend of December eliminated teams from playoff contention and solidified division leaders. The postseason is near and most teams are getting ready for either the offseason or for home-field advantage. Time to break down who’s closer to wildcard weekend and who’s ready for a top five position in the draft.

Winners: De’Von Achane’s return for Miami

While the Dolphins cruised to an easy win in Washington D.C. with historical performances by receiver Tyreek Hill and quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, viewers should pay attention to rookie runningback De’Von Achane’s solid performance.

Achane picked up where he left off almost two months ago, running 17 times for 73 yards and two touchdowns. He had the highest yards per rush for any Miami runner. While his two scores came in the second half of a blowout win, Achane looked comfortable easing back into a key role.

The main criticism towards the Dolphins before week one was who the main runningback threat would be when Tagovailoa wasn’t throwing deep passes to receivers. De’Von Achane appeared to be the answer before his knee injury, and most believe this will continue with five games remaining in the regular season. His health could determine how far Miami advances in the playoffs.

Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis was one of three NFL teams to win every game played in November. Sunday was a litmus test for rookie coach Shane Stechen against a division rival the Colts hadn’t swept since 2018.

It was an ugly start as the Titans led by ten at one point in the first half. Then Tennessee botched back-to-back punts leading to Indianapolis grabbing a lead. Yet the Colts allowed their rivals to stick around long enough to force overtime. Kicker Nick Folk got the lead back for the Titans but Gardner Minshew II had the last laugh, throwing a four yard touchdown to Michael Pittman Jr.

Indianapolis is tied for second in the AFC South and is one of a half dozen teams fighting for a wild-card spot. The defense is top ten in both sacks and interceptions while the offense is eighth in points per game. Refreshing ideas and schemes from a new head coach working on player development is paying off for a franchise many believed was one of the worst when the season began.

Mike Evans

There are only two receivers in NFL history who have recorded ten straight seasons with 1,000 receiving yards. They are Jerry Rice and Mike Evans. The latter is the only one to accomplish this in his first ten seasons.

Tampa’s franchise leader in career catches, receiving yards, touchdown receptions, overall touchdowns and 100-yard receiving games had another breakout game against the division rival Panthers on Sunday. His seven catches for 162 yards and a touchdown gave the Buccaneers their second lead of the day late in the third quarter. The 75 yard score dented Carolina’s hope of winning their second game of the year.

Evans’ career has been quiet despite the decade long production and how the league has eased defensive rules, giving receivers more attention and media spotlight. It’s unlikely Tampa’s all-time best receiver retires anytime soon. Mike Evans has a great chance to threaten some records of all-time great Jerry Rice and is likely to be viewed as a top three wide receiver whenever he retires.

Losers: Whoever thought the Denver Broncos were back in the playoff discussion

The Broncos had won their last five games after an awful loss in Kansas City. Many believed there was a return to relevance for Denver after their Monday night win in Buffalo a few weeks ago. Sunday was a test for head coach Sean Payton’s team to see how they’d fare against a playoff-caliber team featuring a solid defense and a great quarterback. It didn’t go well.

Quarterback Russell Wilson came up short on several possessions despite a close score. His 186 yards, three interceptions and three sacks held Denver back from closing the first place gap with Kansas City. While the Broncos defense forced Houston to settle for field goals instead of touchdowns, the offense didn’t score their first points until the last minute of the first half. The one time Denver came close to threatening a lead change was the last possession of the game. Wilson then threw his third interception to seal Houston’s seventh win.

A good number of viewers will say it’s an off-week especially when Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud IV has been one of the most exciting players this season. The rookie played hurt a good part of the game and still outplayed Wilson when it mattered most. The Broncos offense is still bottom five in the league in passing yards. The defense is last against the rush and third to last in total yards given up. It’s not like their last five wins came against healthy teams with no issues. Denver has improved but they won’t go on a postseason run.

Anyone who thought the AFC east would have more than one team in the postseason

A fun yet frustrating part of covering the NFL is how objective, pre-season predictions can be derailed around Thanksgiving. The AFC east divisional race is a perfect example of how bold or conservative predictions can get shredded by the start of December.

The Dolphins are a lock to make the playoffs unless there are season ending injuries to star players. Outside of Miami, there won’t be another team sniffing the playoffs. New England has given up an average of eight points their last three games while scoring an average of four. Predictably, those resulted in losses and the Patriots are the worst team in the conference.

New York isn’t much better. They had to make another change at quarterback after Tim Boyle floundered in a home loss to Atlanta. Like New England, the defense keeps the Jets in close games, but inept quarterback play (with Aaron Rodgers officially ruled out for the season) dooms any chance of a playoff spot.

Then there’s the .500 Bills, who have four of their remaining five games against heavy playoff favorites with better defenses. Quarterback Josh Allen is regressing and the running game is non-existent. The injuries to star defensive players like Mike Milano show Buffalo will fizzle out by Christmas.

Many fans and analysts had at least two teams from the AFC east making the postseason. It’s bizarre the division isn’t close to competitive as Miami inches closer to clinching the division. At least it makes the sport more fun and unpredictable.

Jalen Hurts

For most of the season, Eagles starting quarterback Jalen Hurts has played well. Hurts hasn’t replicated his 2022 numbers but he’s led Philadelphia to the league’s best record. Sunday’s nationally televised home thumping by San Francisco was a reality check.

Statistically, Jalen Hurts had a solid game completing 26 of 45 passes, 298 yards and one touchdown. He also ran seven times for 20 yards and an additional score. The problem was Hurts couldn’t lead the Eagles downfield consistently against a defense he had an easier time with in last year’s NFC championship game. While he was concussed late in the third quarter, Hurts looked overwhelmed and had no answers before that hit.

The performance puts a dent in his MVP chances but more importantly questions what’s been different in his style of play since the Super Bowl loss. It appears opposing defenses have caught onto his reads faster and interrupt certain routes when he least expects it. We’ll find out more next Sunday night if this remains a problem against a similar defense.

NFL Week Nine Winners and Losers

We’re officially in the second half of the NFL 2023 regular season. Some teams are rising in draft position while others inch closer to the playoffs. Postseason hopefuls want higher seeding further into November. Without further delay here are the winners and losers after week nine.

Winners: Jahan Dotson

Two weeks ago receiver Jahan Dotson faced heavy criticism for dropping a fourth down pass that would have kept Washington’s potential game-winning drive alive. Since that loss, Dotson’s stepped up and is a reason the Commanders almost won two straight games.

On Sunday, the wideout caught the game-tying touchdown against New England midway through the third quarter. Washington’s only other touchdown drive came earlier when Dotson caught two passes for 12 yards and picked up a first down. Since the loss in New York, he’s caught 12 passes for 177 yards and two scores.

Washington’s sixth ranked passing offense is most dangerous when Jahan Dotson’s the number two receiving threat opposite Terry McLaurin. Viewers have questioned his consistency against tougher defenses. Dotson’s shown progress with a rookie quarterback throwing his direction more, quieting some doubters.

Tank Dell and Noah Brown

The NFL world is dousing rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud IV with a lot of praise after Houston’s exciting home win versus Tampa Bay. While deserved, there are two new receivers flourishing and helping the rookie each week. They are fellow rookie Tank Dell and sixth year wideout Noah Brown.

Dell is the 2023 second overall pick’s favorite target. In Sunday’s win the rookie wide receiver caught six passes for 114 yards and two touchdowns, including the game winning score with ten seconds left. Tank Dell has six touchdowns, over 600 yards receiving and averages 16 yards a catch. The third round draft pick could be the number one option the rest of the season.

Veteran Noah Brown is finally on a team that gives him a chance to play more, and he’s having a breakout season. Brown caught all six passes thrown his way for 153 yards and a touchdown. His career long 75 yard score cut Houston’s deficit by four to start the third quarter. He’s averaging a career high ten yards a catch and should surpass his career high in yards before Thanksgiving.

Texans fans complained about the lack of talent at receiver last year. The fanbase should be relieved management’s found at least three good options for a young and growing offense.

Las Vegas Raiders and Antonio Pierce

The Raiders finished October on a dismal note and either fired or replaced most of the staff and roster personel. The changes came at the right time and Las Vegas is back in the playoff bubble.

While it could be an anomaly (like last year’s win for former Indianapolis interim coach Jeff Saturday), one wouldn’t know by how excited, energized and competitive the Raiders were Sunday. Interim coach and former linebacker Antonio Pierce led a rout at home against New York. Vegas’ defense made life miserable for whoever was quarterbacking the Giants (more on that later). They forced a fumble, two interceptions and recorded eight sacks. New York didn’t score until early in the fourth quarter.

On offense, rookie quarterback Aidan O’Connell looked more prepared and played better in his second career start. Last year’s NFL leader in rushing yards Josh Jacobs had his best game of the season running for 98 yards and scored two touchdowns.

The Raiders have lost a lot of close games the past season and a half. Even former coach Josh McDaniels said confidence was low top to bottom. Regardless of what happens the rest of the season, expect the former Tom Coughlin coached linebacker to have an easier time leading a team that wants to win.

Losers: Arizona Cardinals

It took nine weeks for Arizona to be the worst team in the league. Many wondered how bad their loss in Cleveland would be after trading quarterback Joshua Dobbs to Minnesota. It didn’t take long to figure out.

The Cardinals were shutout in the most lopsided game for week nine. Rookie Clayton Tune made his first start and went eleven of 20 for 58 yards and two interceptions. 30 of the 58 yards came in the fourth quarter. Tune was the leading rusher with 28 yards and Marquise Brown led all receivers with 24 yards on four catches.

There was a lot to feel good about after week three’s win against Dallas. The only positive for Arizona since is the return of franchise star Kyler Murray next Sunday. Many will say the on-field production is terrible but poor roster building and the hiring of incompetant coaches could doom this team to a bottom three league ranking past this season.

Daniel Jones

Last week I wrote about how exceptional Kirk Cousins’ career has been. If one wanted to find the opposite of Cousins, look no further than Giants starting quarterback Daniel Jones. To be fair, Jones’ best season last year wasn’t just because there was a new coach. There was needed stability for both the organization and former first round pick. It’s an understatement 2023 has been anything but stable.

Many felt the four year, $160 million contract extension Daniel Jones signed in the offseason would one day backfire. Few anticipated it would start week one on Sunday night. When New York’s franchise quarterback was again pulverized by an opposing defense late Sunday afternoon, Jones hit a new low. The quarterback was sacked by Raiders defensive star Maxx Crosby at the end of the first quarter for a seven yard loss. He got up slowly and tried to start the second quarter extending New York’s possession, but fell when the play began. That play wound up being the easiest sack of defensive end Malcolm Koonce’s career.

Sports news outlets ESPN and NFL Network have confirmed Daniel Jones tore his ACL. There was a lot to build on after last season’s success with a playoff win, more scoring on offense and key additions at tight-end and receiver. Both New York and the starting quarterback they extended now have to decide what the best options are moving forward after falling back to last in the NFC east.

Bryce Young

It’s possible years from now we’ll have the debate of who’s the better, elite quarterback between Bryce Young and C.J. Stroud IV. Until that day comes, it’s safe to say the former of the two is a disappointment.

Carolina’s blowout home loss to Indianapolis began with Young’s turnovers. The 2023 number one pick threw three interceptions, two of which were returned for touchdowns by cornerback Kenny Moore II (the first time a defensive player has recorded this in the Colts’ 70 year history). The rookie’s 173 yards passing and 48.3 quarterback rating are the tip of a dreadful performance.

The alarming part of Bryce Young’s play is his disconnect with the surrounding offensive talent and what Carolina gave up to acquire him. After week nine, the Panthers have the second worst record in the league. Yet their 2024 first round draft pick is with the Chicago Bears (who are the third worst team in the league and are favored to beat Carolina this Thursday) because they traded up in the last draft to pick Young. Carolina also traded away star receiver D.J. Moore, who’s having a career season in the Windy City and enjoys playing with quarterback Justin Fields.

Bryce Young does have a solid supporting cast of Adam Theilen, Miles Sanders, DJ Chark Jr., Chuba Hubbard and Tommy Tremble. They’ve shown in previous years there’s potential, and most are good depth players. This makes Young’s struggles in accuracy, reading defensive coverages and figuring out who’s open worse. The Panthers offense hasn’t scored more than 24 points when he starts.

It won’t get easier for either the passer or the team. The Panthers’ schedule gets harder the next few months. It’s difficult to see how they win more than one game before 2024. Young could improve, but it looks like using the first overall pick on him was a bad move.

Note: NFL’s Winners and Losers will not be published for the rest of November due to the writer, editor and publisher having personal reasons and time off. Publications will resume around the conclusion of week 13.

NFL Week Eight Winners and Losers

Week eight was a fun and wild end to October. There are some surprising teams in first place while some playoff seasoned teams are getting worse. The first two months of the season were anything but dull. It’s time to break down the week eight winners and losers before Halloween.

Winners: De’Andre Hopkins

De’Andre Hopkins was the best wide receiver in the NFL from the late 2010s to 2020. Injuries lowered his production the last two years but he still has good games once in a while. Sunday was a reminder of how great he is when healthy.

Hopkins caught four passes for 128 yards and three touchdowns in a dominant Titans home win. Tennessee traded for the former All-Pro to make deep field plays and give other receivers favorable one-on-one matchups. While there’s still a lot of time for Hopkins, the receivers and quarterbacks to be on the same page every game, things worked out Sunday in a much needed victory.

New Orleans Saints offense

One of the biggest topics this season has been genuine confusion of New Orleans amassing a large number of yards every week but struggling to score. Leading up to Sunday’s game in Indianapolis, head coach Dennis Allen said, “It’s time for the offensive growing pains to be over.” The Saints had their highest scoring game of the season Sunday.

It almost got away from New Orleans in the second quarter, but quarterbacks Taysom Hill and Derek Carr led touchdown drives to give the Saints the lead at halftime. Second half scores from Alvin Kamara and Taysom Hill cemented the Saints’ second double-digit win of the year.

New Orleans is tied for first in the NFC South and back to .500 after eight weeks. They have two more games before their bye week against opponents who struggle to score. If the Saints want to remain in the playoff and divisional title races, they have to replicate Sunday’s production.

A.J. Brown

Anyone who’s watched the NFL should agree Tennessee trading away number one receiver A.J. Brown to Philadelphia last season was one of the worst moves in franchise history. It’s also one of the biggest wins for Eagles general manager Howie Roseman. Brown isn’t just an elite receiver since the trade, he’s making league history.

No receiver in the NFL’s 104 years ever recorded six straight games of 125 receiving yards or more until Brown’s performance Sunday. His eight catches for 130 yards and two touchdowns helped Philadelphia complete their sweep of division rival Washington.

Many wide receivers don’t get MVP consideration but A.J. Brown should. Whenever he’s targeted or becomes the featured player in the Eagles offense, Philadelphia dominates their opponents. He’s averaging close to 16 yards a catch and is on pace for a 2,000 yard season after eight games. The Eagles have more playmakers on offense but no one is close to Brown’s level.

Gus Edwards

Speaking of potent offenses, the Ravens had one of the best this month. Baltimore’s dominant win last week was led by quarterback Lamar Jackson. Sunday it was with Gus Edwards.

Edwards became the first Raven runningback to score three touchdowns in a game since 2019. His four yards per carry guaranteed a Baltimore win on the road. He also has over 400 rushing yards after the first half of the season.

The Ravens needed a runningback who can take some of the workload and pressure off quarterback Lamar Jackson while staying healthy. Gus Edwards is a versatile player who makes defenses second guess what will happen next. As he improves, so should Baltimore’s offense.

Losers: Kirk Cousins

Quarterback Kirk Cousins has been under scrutiny almost his entire NFL career. Regardless of the original expectations, Cousins has made the most of his opportunities. Some of his best play has been this month getting Minnesota out of a winless start (that he was part of). Unfortunately for Cousins, his year is over after getting the Vikings’ back to .500 with their fourth win in the last five games.

Minnesota’s offense dominated the Packers defense. The Vikings were without star receiver Justin Jefferson, but you wouldn’t know it the way Cousins torched Green Bay for 274 yards, two touchdowns and a 122.2 passer rating.

Cousins tore his Achilles tendon at the start of the fourth quarter, instantly ending his rollercoaster season. While 2023 isn’t duplicating last year’s run, Minnesota’s offensive captain will continue to hear how average he is at best despite a fascinating career.

The Kansas City Chiefs offense without Eric Bieniemy

Many viewers are wondering why the defending Super Bowl champions look anemic on offense. There’s a belief that a lack of talent at the receiver position is the main issue. Take a deeper look. The offense is missing the creativity of former coordinator Eric Bieniemy since he left for Washington.

Kansas City’s performance was so bad even Sunday Night Football’s color commentator Cris Collinsworth remarked, “the Chiefs had more punts than points.” Their 15 game winning streak against the Broncos was snapped when Denver scored ten points in the fourth quarter. The Chiefs had no answer outside of three Harrison Butker field goals.

It’s fair to say Kansas City’s turnovers are the main reason they lost the game but it’s more than stats. Head coach Andy Reid said the team is making mistakes they haven’t made before. The Chiefs had won eight straight games when trailing after three quarters. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes II didn’t throw a touchdown for the first time in 29 games. Kansas City had multiple drives end because of turnovers or not making the right play to get a touchdown. While funny and basic to read, that’s what made the Chiefs dangerous with Bieniemy calling the plays. Kansas City was rarely out of a game because of their former coordinator’s creativity.

It might surprise people that after eight games, the Chiefs offense ranks third in passing yards, but has scored more than 30 points twice halfway through the season. At some point, the offensive coordinator has to provide solutions.

San Francisco 49ers

What makes the NFL so fun (and also maddening) is how things can change any given week. Everyone knew on October seventh San Francisco was the best and most complete team in the league. After Sunday, the 49ers could be in panic mode.

San Francisco lost their third straight game and like last Monday night, it wasn’t close. The alarming issue is how the offense and defense has regressed in two weeks. Quarterback Brock Purdy struggles to read the field and averages three turnovers in each of the last three games. Outside of the weekly Christian McCaffrey touchdown, the running game is non-existent.

There’s controversy on defense with coordinator Steve Wilks’ play-calling. Last Monday night Wilks called terrible blitz plays and had to apologize for it. On Sunday, the secondary was shredded by Bengals receivers Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd. Then there’s top pass rusher Nick Bosa, who held out for a contract extension in September. He has three and a half sacks in his last 13 games (regular and postseason). The nosedive on defense prompted a response from head coach Kyle Shanahan regarding how long he’ll stay in the weekly meetings.

The wildest part of the downturn is San Francisco’s drop out of first place. Seattle found a way to beat Cleveland (the team that delivered the 49ers’ first loss of the season) at home with a rising defense and balanced offense. Both teams play each other in three weeks but the Seahawks look like the most complete team in the division and have their issues figured out. No one expected that when October began.

The hype on Tyson Bagent

Most backup quarterbacks aren’t the face of the franchise because, well, they’re backups. However there are many Bears fans who somehow think and believe Tyson Bagent is better than starter Justin Fields. Sunday night was a reminder why Bagent has been the backup even when Fields struggles.

The Bears were blown out by the Chargers on Sunday night. While Justin Herbert had his best game of the season, Bagent struggled on all but two possessions. His 25 of 37 for 232 yards, two interceptions and 62 quarterback rating reassured viewers he is not the answer moving forward.

Starter Justin Fields is as good a passer as he is a runner. Bagent isn’t a runner or someone who likes to get hit while staying in the pocket. He did run a few times…for minus-one yard. While Bagent had a few starts for a brief NFL career, that will be it. At least he got to play some games.

2023-2024 NBA Western Conference Playoff Picks

The western conference boasts back-to-back NBA championship teams. Most of the 15 franchises made major moves this offseason by trades, free agency and the draft. Many people will focus on how stacked the Pacific division is and how every team could make the playoffs. The champion Denver Nuggets will have a tough task in their quest to repeat, and teams like Memphis could take the next step in longer playoff runs.

That’s a lot to process, so let’s turn the attention to which eight teams have the best chances of making the western conference playoffs.

Denver Nuggets

Denver won their first NBA championship in franchise history this past June. They’ll have to fend off the whole Pacific division in order to repeat.

The reigning champs will make the playoffs unless injuries pile up. Pencil them in for a high seed.

Phoenix Suns

Phoenix traded for Bradley Beal to facilitate better offensive possessions with Kevin Durant, Devin Booker and Jusuf Nurkic. This will be one of the most dangerous teams in the league.

Memphis Grizzlies

Memphis trading for Marcus Smart adds needed veteran leadership and a serious vocal presence to hold younger players accountable.

The Grizzlies couldn’t stay out of the news for negative reasons last spring. It led to a decisive first round exit against the Lakers. General manager Zach Kleiman needed to make some changes so he traded with Boston for Marcus Smart. Smart’s presence alone should balance the rowdy locker room personalities while being a nag on the court. This is still the best team in the Southwest division and Memphis will be one of the best teams in the league when (or if) Ja Morant comes back from suspension.

Los Angeles Clippers

Due to new rules, the tandem of Paul George (13) and Kawhi Leonard (2) have to play more this season unless they’re injured.

Health is the big concern with the Clippers but having Russell Westbrook play point-guard more is a plus. Westbrook’s consistent energies give coach Tyronn Lue relief if neither Paul George or Kawhi Leonard play at some point. Forward depth such as Terance Mann, Robert Covington and Nicholas Batum helps long-term.

Los Angeles Lakers

The health of LeBron James and Anthony Davis will be a factor of how high Los Angeles places for the postseason. The guard duo of D’Angelo Russell and Austin Reaves helps the Lakers look like a good choice even if injuries become a problem. Bench players like Rui Hachimura, Taurean Prince and Cam Reddish ease pressure off two or three players doing most of the scoring every night.

Golden State Warriors

Golden State needs Kevon Looney to step up at center and get most of the minutes each game.

Many believe Golden State is coming to the end of the line with their core franchise veterans. This is the season Jonathan Kuminga and Moses Moody need step into their desired roles and score when both Klay Thompson and Steph Curry rest on the bench. The return of Gary Payton II and signing Chris Paul could make the Warriors harder to eliminate when the postseason approaches.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Anthony Edwards is the face of the Timberwolves. There’s a high chance he leads them to the postseason as an MVP candidate.

Minnesota has the talent to dominate a lot of teams and they need to do it consistently this year with how much money they’ve spent on Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns. Both players need to drive to the basket while the guard tandem of Mike Conley and Anthony Edwards lead the offense. There are multiple teams in the west that could step up but they don’t have depth like the Timberwolves.

Sacramento Kings

If the Kings want to return to the postseason, their best chance is with Mike Brown continuing the stellar coaching he had last year.

I’m unsure if Sacramento can replicate last year’s miracle postseason appearance, but there are several factors that give them the nod. The last spot will face competition with Dallas and New Orleans. The Mavericks aren’t giving Luka Doncic the desired help and the Pelicans can’t stay healthy even with stellar coaching. That leaves the Kings as the best option with coach Mike Brown having De’Aaron Fox, Domantas Sabonis and Harrison Barnes as the team’s core.

Play-in losing teams: New Orleans Pelicans and Dallas Mavericks

2022-2023 Western conference prediction record: 6-4