2025 NFC Wild Card Weekend Playoff Picks

The 2024-2025 NFL regular season is over. Seven teams in each conference have a chance to win the Vince Lombardi championship trophy. For those unfamiliar with the updated playoff format, an extra team was added. That means there’s one bye week for the top seeded team in each conference and a Monday night playoff game. Everyone wants to know which three teams in the NFC advance to the divisional round, so here are the best picks come Sunday.

#7 Green Bay Packers v. #2 Philadelphia Eagles

It’ll be a long day for Green Bay’s defense with a fully rested and healthy Saquon Barkley (26) ready to go.

Talk about a nightmare end to the regular season for Green Bay. The loss of Christian Watson to a non-contact knee injury will have Philadelphia’s defensive front feasting on the Packer offense. Runningback Josh Jacobs should soften some of the blows, but it’ll be a long day for quarterback Jordan Love. If it wasn’t lopsided enough, the Eagles will play all their rested offensive starters. A fresh Saquon Barkley will run rampant through a Packers defense that could be on the field most of the game.

Prediction: Eagles win 31-13

#6 Washington Commanders v. # #3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The last time an NFL team from Washington D.C. won a playoff game, it was in 2006 against the Chris Simms led Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Much has changed in 20 years, including the team favored to win. The Commanders had a great season under head coach Dan Quinn and rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, but the Buccaneers are better. Head coach Todd Bowles has plenty of tricks, schemes and disguises he didn’t use in the week one matchup against Washington. He also has the defense to snuff out the Commanders run game.

On the flip side, Tampa’s offense is superior to Washington’s defense. The feel-good story for the Commanders is nice, but they aren’t the better and more disciplined team.

Prediction: Buccaneers win 31-13

#5 Minnesota Vikings v. #4 Los Angeles Rams

Despite a thorough Thursday night home win against Minnesota, most audiences believed the Vikings could’ve tied before an egregious, uncalled facemask against the Rams sealed the loss.

By far the best wildcard matchup in the conference, many think this will be closer and kinder for the road team. That’s hard to believe when Los Angeles dominated Minnesota at the line of scrimmage in their regular season matchup. In many ways, last weekend’s whooping by Detroit’s defense was similar to how the Rams shut down the Vikings in late October. Minnesota’s defense also struggled against veteran quarterback Matthew Stafford and the Los Angeles offense. Stafford exploited one-on-one coverage matchups against receivers Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp. When Minnesota did counter the pass, runningback Kyren Williams averaged four yards a carry and wore out the Vikings defensive line.

Something else to watch is how Minnesota receiver Justin Jefferson plays against an aggressive defense. He was terrible in his last playoff performance (two years ago when the Vikings lost at home to the New York Giants) and was held to three catches for 54 yards in Minnesota’s most important game in the regular season. It’ll be interesting to see the takes on Jefferson if he disappears against a defense he had eight catches and 115 yards against almost three months ago.

Upset prediction of wildcard weekend: Rams win 35-24

2023 regular season playoff picks record: 4-3

2025 AFC Wild Card Weekend Playoff Picks

The 2024-2025 NFL regular season is over. Seven teams in each conference have a chance to win the Vince Lombardi championship trophy. For those unfamiliar with the updated playoff format, an extra team was added. That means there’s one bye week for the top seeded team in each conference and a Monday night playoff game. Everyone wants to know which three teams in the AFC advance to the divisional round, so here are the best picks come Saturday.

#5 Los Angeles Chargers v. #4 Houston Texans

The most important matchup in the first playoff game might be Houston’s wide receivers versus the Chargers secondary. Whoever wins that matchup should advance to the divisional round.

The first playoff game should be a thrilling one as Los Angeles head coach Jim Harbaugh makes his return. The Chargers run the ball and use extra blockers while the defense plays aggressive. Houston’s stumbled all season despite having better talent. Los Angeles is disciplined and methodical in how they attack opponents. Don’t be surprised if the Chargers break out and cruise to victory in the second half.

Prediction: Chargers win 30-23

#6 Pittsburgh Steelers v. #3 Baltimore Ravens

Viewers are in for another round of AFC north playoff football. Pittsburgh lost their last four games (including a season split with the Ravens) and Baltimore’s peaking at the best time. The Ravens cleaned up a lot of defensive errors while the Steelers struggle to score more than ten points a half. Defenses might have figured out offensive coordinator Arthur Smith and how quarterback Russell Wilson’s adapted out east. It won’t take long for reigning league MVP Lamar Jackson to break out.

Prediction: Ravens win 31-20

#7 Denver Broncos v. #2 Buffalo Bills

Denver’s best chance of an upset road win in Buffalo is to stifle the Bills offense all game.

This could be the best game all wildcard weekend. Denver has the defense to nullify Buffalo’s offense for at least one half. The Broncos offense v. the Bills defense will determine who wins this game. Rookie quarterback Bo Nix gets better each week but Buffalo’s Sean McDermott has plenty of tricks to use. The Bills have a good front seven, and that will wear out the Broncos offensive line and tight ends.

Prediction: Bills win 16-10

2024 regular season playoff picks record: 4-3

NFL Week Five Winners and Losers

Week five in the NFL had a lot of thrills, surprises and hair-pulling moments. Some of the best games of 2024 were yesterday. Audiences are finding out which teams could be contenders and which ones could be one and done if they reach the playoffs. Here are this weeks winners and losers.

Winners: Shane Waldron

Chicago entered week five lucky to be at .500. The defense kept them in close games while the offense struggled to score. Part of that is because there’s a new offensive coordinator in Shane Waldron, number one overall pick quarterback Caleb Williams and a battered receiving core trying to improve every week. Sunday’s dominant home win against Carolina could be a turning point for Waldron’s offense.

Chicago dominated a lackluster Panthers defense. At one point the Bears scored four touchdowns on five first half drives. Williams threw two touchdowns to wide receiver D.J. Moore while running backs Roschon Johnson and D’Andre Swift ran for a touchdown (each). Chicago had a 20 point second quarter, almost securing a win before Carolina scored ten points.

The Bears offense is fortunate they play a few more easier defenses the next few months (and have a bye week soon). The NFC north is the best division so far and Chicago needs consistent scoring to keep up with their three rivals. That dominant win could be the start of something special for Shane Waldron’s offense.

Houston Texans

The best game Sunday was Houston’s home win versus Buffalo. It looked and felt like a playoff game. The Texans dominated until the third quarter. Buffalo then came back with two straight touchdowns and tied it late in the fourth quarter.

Houston didn’t panic. After the defense forced Bills quarterback Josh Allen to throw three straight incompletions at his own two yard line, sophomore quarterback C.J. Stroud IV led a quick game winning drive. Texans kicker Ka’imi Fairbairn drilled a 59 yard field goal as time expired and Houston got their fourth win of the season.

The Texans struggled at the end of September despite winning three of four games. Beating Buffalo at home after the Bills were embarrassed in Baltimore last Sunday night showed Houston’s maturity on every side of the ball. Head coach DeMeco Ryans had them prepared even if the Bills had a second half surge.

Brian Daboll and the New York Giants offense

New York went into Seattle without leading playmaker rookie wide receiver Malik Nabers and the offense gave up a 101 yard fumble return touchdown to Seahawks strong safety Rayshawn Jenkins their first drive of the game. The Giants could’ve let that affect their play and mentally given up after trailing, but the offense rebounded the next possession and tied it back at seven. New York didn’t trail the rest of the afternoon.

Head coach Brian Daboll’s had a lot of pressure to succeed after getting the Giants to the divisional round of the playoffs his first season. It hasn’t helped that New York’s front office fails to acquire and retain top roster talent. Daboll knows his team won’t be favored most Sundays and he’s used that to his advantage.

The Giants didn’t have starting runningback Devin Singletary, so Daboll decided Tyrone Tracy Jr. should start and be the main focus of the offense. Tracy Jr. ran 18 times for 127 yards, the offensive line played better and quarterback Daniel Jones played with more confidence. Jones’ two passing touchdowns gave the Giants a double digit lead until late in the fourth quarter.

New York has to scrape for every win this season, but they can feel good knowing their coach does his best each week.

Arizona Cardinals

Arizona was competitive in all but one of their September games. It was important they saw more progress under head coach Jonathan Gannon Sunday. The Cardinals always play San Francisco hard, even in blowout losses. Getting a late win in Santa Clara is big for both the team and the division.

At one point Arizona trailed by 13 after one half. They were down ten to start the fourth quarter, but a quick touchdown and two point conversion made it a two point game. After a late Chad Ryland 35 yard field goal, the Cardinals needed a defensive stand to get their second win of the season. Linebacker Kyzir White intercepted quarterback Brock Purdy and sealed Arizona’s victory.

The Cardinals win is big in the NFC west as they have the second place tiebreaker over San Francisco. Both Arizona’s wins are against division opponents. It got better as Los Angeles and Seattle lost their late afternoon games. Management has to feel optimistic after this weekend.

Losers: Cincinnati for playing conservative with a three point lead in the fourth quarter

Cincinnati’s most important game of the season might have been the overtime loss to Baltimore Sunday. The Bengals led by ten points multiple times and somehow couldn’t get the win. There were two critical possessions the Ravens offense scored while Cincinnati didn’t score on their last two. Many will blame the Bengals defense, but the offense came up short when it mattered most.

Cincinnati’s last possession of the fourth quarter was a quick, three-and-out series where franchise starting quarterback Joe Burrow was sacked and threw an incomplete pass. A nine yard run by Chase Brown got some yards back, but the Bengals had to punt the ball to Baltimore as time expired, forcing overtime. The Bengals wasted a minute and a half trying to end regulation instead of going down the field and getting a last second score.

After Cincinnati’s defense recovered a Lamar Jackson fumble in overtime, the Bengals decided to play conservative again and give kicker Evan McPherson a chance at a game winning field goal. That idea might have worked if the Bengals weren’t near mid-field. Three run plays went to Brown, who got three yards. McPherson missed a 53 yard field goal partly because his holder (the holder snaps and holds the ball in a way the kicker can attempt his best kick to score) botched the snap. Perhaps there would be no missed field goal attempt or botched snap if Cincinnati’s head coach Zac Taylor decided Burrow stay aggressive and play to win. The former number one overall pick threw five touchdowns and almost 400 yards. He could’ve gotten more than three yards on three plays.

Baltimore took advantage of the missed kick, did what the Bengals couldn’t and went down the field playing to their strengths. Ravens kicker Justin Tucker got the game winning field goal and again put Cincinnati three games under .500.

The Jerod Mayo experiment

It seemed the Patriots head coaching hire of former champion linebacker Jerod Mayo was good the first two weeks of the regular season. New England played hard those first two weeks and got an upset win over Cincinnati. After week two, the Patriots scored 26 points the last three games. All three were losses.

Sunday was a low-point for Mayo. The anemic Miami Dolphins offense couldn’t do anything right until late in the fourth quarter. After Alec Ingold’s three yard touchdown run (Miami didn’t convert their two point attempt), New England had two possessions to get a touchdown and win the game. The Patriots ran 14 plays for 99 yards in under seven minutes. They didn’t score a point.

The Dolphins are one of the league’s worst teams with or without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. New England couldn’t beat them at home despite leading most of the game. This is going to be an ugly rest of the season for the Patriots.

Las Vegas Raiders

Anyone who’s kept up with the AFC west knew Denver would snap their almost-five year losing streak against divisional opponent Las Vegas at some point. Many believed that when the Broncos beat the Raiders, it wouldn’t be lopsided. They were wrong.

Vegas started strong and led by ten after the first quarter. The game flipped when Denver cornerback Pat Surtain II intercepted Gardner Minshew II and ran for a 100 yard touchdown. The Broncos stayed aggressive after that score and the Raiders had no answers. Head coach Antonio Pierce’s frustration with the offense led to Minshew’s fourth quarter benching for backup Aidan O’Connell.

The loss wouldn’t be as bad if it weren’t for the rising drama the last few weeks. From Pierce calling out his coaches and players in the media to Davante Adams publicly asking for a trade to a playoff contending team, the franchise is a mess top to bottom and it’s impacting on-field decisions. The Raiders getting crushed to a divisional opponent they’d swept almost five straight years is another deflating time for the franchise.

That awful interception Jordan Love threw to Jaylen McCollough

Green Bay quarterback Jordan Love had a great road win in Los Angeles, but it wasn’t perfect. Love threw an interception seconds before the two minute warning that gave the Rams optimism. At first, it appeared Love would take a safety, which is bad enough because Los Angeles quickly pressured him. However, Love threw an interception to Rams safety Jaylen McCollough. McCollough easily toe-tapped his way into the endzone. The defensive scoring play is a quarterback’s worst nightmare. Hopefully Jordan Love doesn’t recreate this moment the rest of the year.

2024 NFC Conference Championship Playoff Pick

Three games remain. Four teams with two in each conference. The remaining two in the NFC are the north winning Detroit Lions and the west division and conference leading San Francisco 49ers. Both teams have potent offenses, underrated quarterbacks, hard-hitting defenses, and intelligent coaches. Time to determine who will advance to the Super Bowl.

#3 Detroit Lions v. #1 San Francisco 49ers

The last time the Lions played San Francisco, it was the first game Dan Campbell coached for the franchise. A lot has changed especially at quarterback for the 49ers.

Unlike the AFC matchup, both teams are dealing with injuries to important players. Detroit’s tight-end Sam LaPorta, center Frank Ragnow and middle linebacker Alex Anzalone are playing with some form of muscle injury or bone fracture. San Francisco’s most important player Deebo Samuel doesn’t have a hairline fracture in his shoulder, but he’s struggling with full movement.

Injuries aside, the winner of this conference championship must be more physical and own the time of possession each half. Detroit has to rely on their runningback tandem of David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs to keep San Francisco’s front seven off-balance. Quarterback Jared Goff is winless in his last five games against the 49ers, but the Lions receiving core and offensive line are better than when these teams faced off week one in 2021.

San Francisco’s offense doesn’t have to rely as much on Samuel against the Aaron Glenn-led Lions defense. The 49ers offensive line is equipped to neutralize Detroit’s pass-rush. The Lions linebackers and whole secondary struggled to tackle receivers A.J. Brown and Mike Evans the last two games. Brandon Aiyuk, Christian McCaffrey, Jauan Jennings and George Kittle will be hard to tackle one-on-one. It’ll be a long day for Detroit’s defense.

Prediction: 49ers win the NFC championship 38-24 and advance to Super Bowl LVIII

NFC divisional round playoff picks record: 2-0

2024 NFC playoff picks record: 4-1

2024 AFC Conference Championship Playoff Pick

Three games remain. Four teams with two in each conference. The remaining two in the AFC are the west winning Kansas City Chiefs and the north division winning and conference leading Baltimore Ravens. Both teams have fast offenses, star quarterbacks, elite defenses, and bright-minded veteran head coaches. Time to determine who will advance to the Super Bowl.

#3 Kansas City Chiefs v. #1 Baltimore Ravens

Kansas City’s Travis Kelce (87) will have the focus of Baltimore’s secondary. The Chiefs need the receiving core to have their best game of the season Sunday.

The last time quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes II and Lamar Jackson faced off was week two 2021. A lot has happened for both teams since that Monday night game. Baltimore has the better and more talented offense while the Chiefs have struggled most of the season to score more than 21 points a game.

The biggest matchup will be Mahomes’ play-calling at the line of scrimmage versus Ravens captain and middle linebacker Roquan Smith. Smith is easily Baltimore’s best at the position since All-Pro Hall of Famer Ray Lewis retired after the 2012-2013 season. Roquan Smith captains the best scoring defense (16.5 points per game) that also had the most sacks in the league (58). His team-leading 158 tackles sets the tone. Mahomes must deceive Smith early and often to get an edge over him and the Ravens defense. It’ll be harder for the Chiefs to replicate last week’s offensive success against a defense at full health.

Buffalo’s receivers gave Kansas City’s secondary a lot of problems last Sunday. While Stefon Diggs is the focus of most defenses, the Bills found ways to move the ball on defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo’s secondary without Gabe Davis. Odell Beckham Jr., Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman and Nelson Agholor are too much for each member of the Chiefs secondary to cover one-on-one. The linebackers and front four will also have to deal with tight-ends Charlie Kolar and Isaiah Likely added in the passing game. Last but not least, there’s the endless possibility of Lamar Jackson extending plays past three seconds with his legs.

If anyone doubts how close this could be, keep in mind Ravens star tight-end Mark Andrews will return (via USA Today and PFF; Andrews not playing versus Houston was a late Friday decision) Sunday. Kansas City played against a Buffalo defense that didn’t have their leading tacklers and star linebackers, squeaking out a three point win. Baltimore will be ready against the reigning Super Bowl champions.

Prediction: Ravens win the AFC championship 31-21 and advance to Super Bowl LVIII

AFC divisional round playoff picks record: 1-1

2024 AFC playoff picks record: 3-2

2024 AFC Divisional Round Playoff Picks

Wildcard weekend wasn’t competitive in the AFC. Kansas City, Houston and Buffalo controlled their games and won with few scares. The remaining four (the Baltimore Ravens had a week off) teams have a great shot at getting to both the conference championship and the Super Bowl. Even with an inexperienced Texans team remaining, no team is an easy out. It’s time to analyze which two teams have the best chance of making the next round.

#4 Houston Texans v. #1 Baltimore Ravens

Houston’s C.J. Stroud (7) is close behind Baltimore’s Lamar Jackson for most valuable player. Despite the week one thrashing, both teams mirror each other on every side of the ball.

A lot has changed since Baltimore’s dominant week one win in Houston. Second overall pick C.J. Stroud IV is the NFL’s rookie of the year, and could get some league MVP votes due to how he’s propelled the Texans this far into the postseason.

Both teams mirror each other well. They have layered, dynamic offenses and stout defenses. Where they differ is depth at runningback and receiver. Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson finally has the help he wanted for years with Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman and Odell Beckham Jr. at receiver and Isaiah Likely and Charlie Kolar at tight-end. Jackson’s favorite option Mark Andrews will also return. Houston can only do so much with so little.

Prediction: Ravens win 34-21

#3 Kansas City Chiefs v. #2 Buffalo Bills

As long as this game doesn’t reach overtime, Buffalo’s has the advantage as Josh Allen (17) and company have looked unstoppable since Thanksgiving weekend.

This matchup will have every casual and serious football fan’s attention. This time in part three of Patrick Mahomes II v. Josh Allen, Kansas City plays their first road playoff game since 2015 (sans Super Bowl appearances). The Bills are at home and just as last weekend, there will be multiple winter weather advantages in western New York.

The big difference outside receiving depth will be Kansas City’s adjustment on the road in a hostile, winter environment. Mahomes has yet to play winter football in another venue especially with high winds. While both offenses will have to match and read different coverages, Buffalo’s tight end duo of Dawson Knox and Dalton Kinkaid might deal more damage toward the Chiefs linebackers, giving receivers like Stefon Diggs and Khalil Shakir more one-on-one opportunities. This is when Kansas City would benefit with a few more receiving options.

Prediction: Bills win 41-38

AFC wildcard weekend picks record: 2-1