Analyzing a Decade into Adam Silver’s Tenure, Part One: Is this the best we could get?

NBA Commissioner Adam Silver implemented a lot of changes since the COVID-19 pandemic. However the league doesn’t have a good direction moving forward like it did with predecessor David Stern.

Yahoo senior NBA reporter Vincent Goodwill ended March with a well-written article detailing the fast-changing landscape taking place in the league. In Goodwill’s article, the main focus was how commissioner Adam Silver has been tasked with maximizing profits, growing the game and making sure the players compete after new rules take place. The league’s improved with players rights, safety and dialogue compared to 20 years ago. Most of the improvements are because Silver values the league and cares about who benefits.

There has been a lot of difficult things to navigate through. Most issues took place after the COVID-19 pandemic almost five years ago. The play-in at the end of the regular season draws ratings, but many viewers complain it disrupts a sport that should be determined by the top eight teams. A good number want to forget about the remaining four play-in teams not in the top eight. There’s the creative and new in-season tournament, but it isn’t needed less than one month into a new season. What’s there to show for a tournament that doesn’t stand out compared to the playoffs in April?

There’s also the recent All-Star game format fiasco. Silver believes that how the NHL does their All-Star game, so should the NBA. While it’s a preposition, popular analysts like Stephen A. Smith had a strong rebuke of the new format idea. The NBA has been criticized for constant elimination of defense, terrible officiating and a growing season schedule. There’s now a rule in place that any player up for an award must play 65 games to be considered. Silver’s not respected nor taken seriously enough by the players when it comes to play and events like the All-Star game.

While some of these changes are to grow revenue and make the game safer, it’s also difficult to watch and pay attention to for nine straight months. Silver’s predecessor David Stern got many things wrong in his 30 year tenure, but he also got a lot of things right. Stern knew how to grow the league, who to promote and market, how to get players and owners on the same page and how to make events fun. Adam Silver has failed to make the NBA fun once play resumed (minus increasing the number of games), made both the players and owners unhappy (for various reasons) and doesn’t know how to grow the league past revenue, sales and promotions.

It doesn’t help commissioner Adam Silver that with the longer schedule and added tournaments, the playoff race is a non-factor. Yes, all but a half dozen teams can clinch high seeds, but there’s no reason to watch a sport an extra week or two when audiences know who’s going to at least a play-in game for two or three more extra days.

While it’s important the consumer understands the league’s current business model, viewership has declined every week of this new season. I’ll discuss in the next NBA power rankings (part two) how gambling has tied in and how the league struggles to stay at or near the top while balancing revenue and growing the brand for future generations. Commissioners consistently balancing both is how they leave a positive mark once stepping down. They also need to deal with certain obstacles and detriments that harm the sport. When one is prioritized more than the other, business plateaus. There should be easier solutions implemented before the profits become losses.

Minnesota center Rudy Gobert was ejected out of a March 8th loss to Cleveland for making the money gesture at referee Scott Foster. While Gobert’s a controversial player on and off court, it’s another chapter in how the players don’t trust officials to make the right calls.

Here’s the first power rankings of the new season. Similar to the NHL rankings, this one will be objective in placement as the season is still young.

#30 Washington Wizards (last season’s final ranking: 30)

Congratulations to Washington on their recent accomplishment. The Wizards join last year’s Pistons as the second team in the last nine years to lose every game in November. Unlike Detroit, there’s little hope they play better before spring.

#29 Utah Jazz (last season’s final ranking: 22)

You won’t find a blunder like the one Utah committed in a home loss against the Lakers December first. Jazz coach Will Hardy called his last timeout right before Colin Sexton’s game-winning layup. Utah lost by one point and Hardy’s been compared to former Chicago Bears head coach Matt Eberflus.

#28 Toronto Raptors (last season’s final ranking: 24)

Toronto’s offense is better, but the defense has to improve. It’ll be a hard month to play better with the number of postseason favorites on their schedule.

#27 Philadelphia 76ers (last season’s final ranking: 17)

Philadelphia’s the true test of patience for anyone doing power rankings. While the NHL power rankings weren’t too difficult outside of Nashville, the 76ers push the envelope on how they play worse each game. From former league MVP center Joel Embiid’s extreme load management, players arguing in the locker room and now Paul George’s left leg injury, Philadelphia went from title contender at the start of the season to selling tickets for $1 in their Wednesday home game against Orlando.

#26 Charlotte Hornets (last season’s final ranking: 28)

Franchise star point guard LaMelo Ball’s fully healthy yet Charlotte has the worst field goal percentage 21 games into the season. The efficiency will get better but it could be slower than expected.

#25 Portland Trail Blazers (last season’s final ranking: 26)

Portland surprised viewers with their better start to the season despite injuries to center Deandre Ayton and forward Matisse Thybulle last month. Solid play from guards Anfernee Simmons and Shaedon Sharpe makes the Trail Blazers more competitive than last year.

#24 Chicago Bulls (last season’s final ranking: 19)

If there’s any national station talking about the Bulls, the conversation is on how Josh Giddey shouldn’t be a point guard. This wasn’t what Chicago had in mind when they traded for him in the offseason. Though a lot of analysts did say trading Alex Caruso for Giddey wasn’t a good idea. The Bulls are a mess despite the roster talent.

#23 San Antonio Spurs (last season’s final ranking: 27)

When coach Gregg Popovich had another stroke and star center Victor Wembanyama missed some games after a bruised right knee, veteran point guard Chris Paul stepped up. Paul’s been one of the Spurs’ better free agent signings the last five years. Chris Paul’s leadership got San Antonio wins against Sacramento and Oklahoma City, two teams expected to make the playoffs this year. The Spurs will be a tough team to keep out the play-in.

#22 Detroit Pistons (last season’s final ranking: 29)

The Pistons have more wins after one month than they had after December 2023. They finished November at 8-9 for the first time since the 2018-2019 season. It’s already a success for Detroit and coach JB Bickerstaff was a great hire for the team. They might be the best early season story.

#21 New Orleans Pelicans (last season’s final ranking: 11)

Unlike Philadelphia, New Orleans has legit reasons for a poor start. Injuries to stars Zion Williamson, Dejounte Murray, Brandon Ingram, C.J. McCollum and Jose Alvarado doomed their season after a month. It’s not fair when so many people were excited to see how New Orleans would hold their own in the west.

#20 Miami Heat (last season’s final ranking: 18)

We might be having a different conversation about Miami if they pulled out wins in November against Phoenix and Detroit. If we take those two games out of the Heat’s first month of the season, they’ve beaten playoff hopefuls Minnesota and Indiana while losing to Denver, Sacramento and division rival Orlando. Miami’s not a good team to start the season.

#19 Brooklyn Nets (last season’s final ranking: 23)

This will be one of the hardest teams to analyze throughout the season. Brooklyn barely beat New Orleans and Charlotte but almost beat Boston, New York and Cleveland. The Nets are last in rebounding but top five shooting three-pointers. At least they’re interesting to watch.

#18 Atlanta Hawks (last season’s final ranking: 20)

After last rankings had the hilarious mediocre Hawks stat, Atlanta’s won five straight to get back to over .500 at 12-11. One couldn’t find a more average sports franchise if they tried.

#17 Indiana Pacers (last season’s final ranking: 13)

Indiana still has a top ten offense but the defensive issues balance out the positives. The Pacers are a bottom three team in rebounding and that’s a factor in losses to Orlando (twice), Philadelphia and New Orleans. They have to show growth on defense or it’ll be a fast postseason exit.

#16 Memphis Grizzlies (last season’s final ranking: 25)

Almost every basketball fan knew last year was an anomaly for Memphis. Now that almost everyone’s back fully healthy, the Grizzlies are top three in rebounds and field goal percentage and second in points scored. Starting forward Jaren Jackson Jr. has improved the most for the veterans while rookie Scottie Pippen Jr. and undrafted center Jay Huff look like offseason steals.

#15 Milwaukee Bucks (last season’s final ranking: 9)

Milwaukee should feel good they won seven of their last nine but remember, this was a championship team that decided to tweak their roster two years after winning a championship. The Bucks remain stagnant since winning their second franchise title back in 2021. That’s a shame since many wanted to see the smaller franchise dominate the league this decade.

#14 Sacramento Kings (last season’s ranking: 14)

If Sacramento makes the playoffs as a top six team, forward De’Aaron Fox has to be an MVP candidate. He’s averaging 28 points, five rebounds, six assists and two steals a game. It would be criminal for him to miss accolades and awards he deserves.

#13 Houston Rockets (last season’s final ranking: 20)

Ime Udoka should be the favorite for coach of the year. Houston’s gone from worst team in the league to division leader in the southwest and second place in the western conference. It’s a surprise the Rockets are this good.

#12 Phoenix Suns (last season’s final ranking: 12)

Though star forward Kevin Durant will only miss a week with a sprained ankle, Phoenix is a different team without him. They’re 10-2 when Kevin Durant plays and a stunning 2-6 without him. No wonder Suns owner Mat Ishbia said Durant’s not leaving.

#11 Dallas Mavericks (last season’s final ranking: 6)

Although it’s on Facebook, the site Full Court put some very interesting stats on the current Dallas winning streak. Franchise star point guard Luka Doncic has been a liability for the Mavericks and the starting forwards and centers. Dallas is a .500 team when he’s started games compared to 5-1 without him. It’s eye-opening that forwards P.J. Washington and Naji Marshall score 20+ points a game and Dallas’ offense averages ten more points without Doncic in the starting lineup.

#10 Los Angeles Clippers (last season’s ranking: 5)

Los Angeles went on a three game losing streak, four game winning streak, three game losing streak and five game winning streak. No wonder Ty Lue’s more gray than usual.

#9 Los Angeles Lakers (last season’s final ranking: 15)

Media outlets will talk about the emergence of shooting guard Dalton Knecht, and for good reasons. Right now the Lakers are doing well because Anthony Davis averages 28 points and eleven rebounds a game. This is how Davis used to play in New Orleans before the trade to Los Angeles. It would be fun if he stayed at this level of production the whole season.

#8 Golden State Warriors (last season’s final ranking: 16)

No one expected the Warriors to be a top team in the western conference after trading Klay Thompson to Dallas. Center Trayce Jackson-Davis and forwards Jonathan Kuminga and Andrew Wiggins have done well to start the season but the two areas that count for all but three of Golden State’s wins are better rebounding and bench depth. The Warriors haven’t had a decent scoring bench in years and they’re top three in second chance scoring opportunities. Once Golden State finds ways to stop choking fourth quarter leads, they’ll be one of the best teams in the west.

#7 Minnesota Timberwolves (last season’s final ranking: 3)

Star shooting guard Anthony Edwards was right for blasting his team on playing, “soft” and “growing apart.” A big reason Minnesota struggled was their drop in rebounding. Center Rudy Gobert can still get a good number of second chance points, but Minnesota’s one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA. There’s a valid discussion that the nosedive in offensive rebounds is a downside of trading Karl Anthony-Towns to New York last summer.

#6 New York Knicks (last season’s final ranking: 8)

What a dominant win over Orlando. New York’s already a top five team in points scored and third best in both regular and three point field goal percentage. Now the Knicks are playing like the team many wanted to see in October. Don’t be surprised if the New York is in the top five or top ten all year.

#5 Orlando Magic (last season’s final ranking: 7)

The Magic have done well since star forward Paolo Banchero went down to a torn, right oblique. Franz and Moritz Wagner have stepped up on offense and Jalen Suggs is more efficient. That’s something to build on once Banchero returns.

#4 Denver Nuggets (last season’s final ranking: 1)

Two things can be true: Russell Westbrook’s 200th triple-double is a feat worth celebrating and he’s not going to be what makes the Nuggets a title contender. Denver needs starting point guard Jamal Murray to play like it’s the 2023 postseason if the Nuggets want to make a deep playoff run.

#3 Oklahoma City Thunder (last season’s final ranking: 4)

Signing center Isaiah Hartenstein was one of the best free agency moves for any team. Chet Holmgren’s hip injury means he’s out at least another month. The veteran Hartenstein makes Oklahoma City rebound better. It’s made the Thunder stay in first place in both the northwest division and western conference.

#2 Boston Celtics (last season’s final ranking: 2)

Should it concern more viewers a good number of Celtics wins to playoff contending teams have been closer than they should be? It’s still early in the season but keep an eye on Boston after Christmas. The Celtics have the depth and talent to wrap up the eastern conference before 2025. It’s odd they aren’t separating themselves this early.

#1 Cleveland Cavaliers (last season’s final ranking: 10)

Head coach Kenny Atkinson became the only coach in NBA history to win his first 15 games to start a tenure with a franchise. Cleveland will also improve throughout the season, especially on second chance scoring opportunities. That should get more attention.

Scoring depth from players like guard Ty Jerome (2) are a good reason Cleveland has the league’s best record.

2024-2025 NBA Eastern Conference Playoff Picks

The Boston Celtics broke the eastern conference two year championship drought and won the 2023-24 title. In response, the top teams added more stars and roster depth. The conference outside of Boston has a lot of teams that can make deep playoff runs similar to last year. Indianapolis could have another breakout season. New York and Miami desperately want a championship. Cleveland, Milwaukee and Philadelphia view anything less than a conference finals appearance a failure. It’ll be a fun and competitive regular season.

Time to break down which eight teams in the east have the best chance of making the playoffs.

Boston Celtics

The Celtics are the favorites to repeat their title run and win their league high 19th championship.

The reigning champs kept most of their deep roster. Boston will make the playoffs even if injuries are a factor. No other NBA team has this luxury.

Milwaukee Bucks

There are concerns over how Milwaukee improves with coach Doc Rivers and chemistry between Damian Lillard and Giannis Antetokounmpo. Luckily the Bucks have more than enough talent to clinch a top six seed.

New York Knicks

While the Knicks added more talent trading for Karl-Anthony Towns, New York’s strength is great coaching from Tom Thibodeau.

The Knicks made a bold trade sending Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo to Minnesota for Karl-Anthony Towns. The former first overall pick will have an interesting time learning coach Tom Thibodeau’s defense while giving the offense consistent scoring.

Miami Heat

Franchise star forward Jimmy Butler will lead a healthier Heat team into the postseason as long as Erik Spoelstra is the coach.

Indiana Pacers

Tyrese Haliburton and the Pacer offense were number one almost all of last season. Many will tune in to see if Indiana can do it again.

The Pacers rode the league’s best offense to the conference finals and came up short in three of their four losses to eventual champion Boston. Viewers are excited to see how coach Rick Carlisle and his roster replicate last season’s success with the franchise stars signed long-term.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Cleveland’s another year better and closer to having their franchise stars in their prime. Last year’s postseason elimination taught them how to play more physical against better defenses, rebound better and the importance of second chance scoring opportunities. The Cavaliers will be tested by veteran teams but have enough talent to make the postseason.

Orlando Magic

No one attacks the basket harder than Orlando’s Paolo Banchero (5).

Orlando’s 2023-24 season was predictable. The Magic are a rising team with a lot of young talent learning how to win. Signing Kentavious Caldwell-Pope was a good addition at shooting guard. Depth at center and power forward will help throughout the year.

Philadelphia 76ers

Although Philadelphia lost Tobias Harris in free agency, Paul George, Kelly Oubre and Reggie Jackson are the needed guard and forward depth that should take all the scoring pressure off center and former league MVP Joel Embiid.

Play-in losing teams: Chicago Bulls, Atlanta Hawks

2023-2024 NBA Western Conference Playoff Picks

The western conferences two year championship run snapped last season. After an interesting playoffs, Dallas lost in the finals 4-1. Most western teams made major moves once the offseason began. Viewers have interest in the stacked northwest division and how every team in the pacific could make the playoffs. Teams like Memphis could break out and have a longer playoff run. The conference champion Mavericks have a tough task to getting back to the finals.

That’s a lot to process, so let’s focus on which eight teams have the best chances of making the western conference playoffs.

Denver Nuggets

(Left to right) League MVP Nikola Jokic and teammate Aaron Gordon should have another dominant season.

League MVP Nikola Jokic wants payback after missing the conference finals. Denver’s depth makes them the top pick to clinch a playoff spot in the west.

Memphis Grizzlies

Injuries shouldn’t be a problem this season even if star point guard Ja Morant is suspended again. Memphis drafting Yuki Kawamura adds to an explosive offense and physical defense.

Phoenix Suns

This is an important year for Kevin Durant and Phoenix’s championship aspirations.

The Suns have a great trio with Devin Booker, Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal. Now they have the depth with Monte Morris and Grayson Allen at guard and forward. Phoenix needs a fast start and better chemistry after a wasted 2023-24 season.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota was great last year, but they could be better this season. Trading Karl-Anthony Towns was a great move because it brought in better players who are physical on defense and not afraid to drive to the basket on offense. Julius Randle and Donte DiVincenzo are upgrades at the forward positions while the Timberwolves kept their center and guard depth. Minnesota is a top contender for the first overall seed in the west.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was close in the league MVP running last year. Oklahoma City has a chance at a high playoff seed because of him running the offense.

The young Thunder were great last year. Then they traded Josh Giddey to Chicago for Alex Caruso. The veteran guard tandem of Caruso and last year’s highly praised league MVP candidate Shai Gilgeous-Alexander can elevate Oklahoma City into another top playoff seed and go further in the postseason. The Thunder also added depth at forward.

Dallas Mavericks

Dallas has one of the best guard tandems in the league and should get more contributions from center Daniel Gafford this season. The Mavericks will be fun to watch.

Golden State Warriors

Golden State’s Stephen Curry will have to do more after Klay Thompson signed with Dallas.

It’s a big year for the Warriors. Klay Thompson left in free agency and coach Steve Kerr has to give the younger players more minutes. We’ll find out how Jonathan Kuminga, Moses Moody, Gary Payton II and Andrew Wiggins adjust to these changes the first month of the season. Brandin Podziemski should have a breakout year starting at shooting guard.

Sacramento Kings

There’s too much talent for Sacramento not to miss the playoffs. Coach Mike Brown should have an easier season now that there’s better forward depth.

Play-in losing teams: Los Angeles Clippers, San Antonio Spurs

2024 WNBA Semi-Finals Predictions

What a fast first round of playoff basketball. All four teams that advanced swept their opponents and are closer to the championship. The semi-finals should be more fun and give us the best basketball we’ve seen all year. The two teams who win their series go to the championship round. It’s time to decide which two teams have the best chance of making the finals.

#1 New York Liberty v. #4 Las Vegas Aces

Vegas has to get more out of Chelsea Gray (12) in order to get past Sabrina Ionescu (20) and the Liberty.

True WNBA fans are excited for this special series. The sequel to last year’s finals matchup should be one of the most watched series of the playoffs. The unanimous MVP A’ja Wilson will battle against elite center Jonquel Jones for at least three games. Guard play will be fun and there will be a lot of points, rebounds and blocks.

New York swept the regular season series and always looked in control no matter how well Wilson played. The Liberty have better roster depth this year and it showed in each regular season win. The Aces might have the best player all-time in her prime, but it won’t be enough if their bench doesn’t step up.

Prediction: Liberty win series 3-1

#2 Minnesota Lynx v. #3 Connecticut Sun

Second best player in the WNBA Napheesa Collier will go against the league’s most physical defense for at least three games.

Liberty-Aces will gain more attention for many reasons, but this series should be the best in the semi-finals. Every game Minnesota and Connecticut played versus each other was close. The Sun are determined to win their first ever championship while it’s another stellar year for the Lynx under coach Cheryl Reeve.

Both teams have some of the league’s best players, but coaching in critical situations and championship pedigree plays a part in which team advances. Minnesota lost both of their games to the Sun before Connecticut traded for guard Marina Mabrey in August. The Lynx’s lone win was when Mabrey played more minutes. Reeve is known for adjustments late in playoff series and how to contain other team’s stars. The Sun are more determined but more likely to get into foul trouble and be easily frustrated in a longer series.

Prediction: Lynx win series 3-2

First round playoff predictions: 4-0

2024 WNBA First Round Playoff Predictions

It’s been a fantastic and historic season for the WNBA. All kinds of records were broken on and off the court. There’s been a lot of praise over the rookies and veterans. Most teams looked great no matter the month. Now for the playoffs.

The first round should be a quick but fun time. Four teams must advance to the second round by two games in a three game series. It’s time to pick which four have the best chances to extend their championship run.

#2 Minnesota Lynx v. #7 Phoenix Mercury

Minnesota’s Napheesa Collier has been the second best player in the WNBA this season, leading her team to first place in the west.

Let’s start with an easy series. Minnesota won three of their four games against Phoenix in the regular season. All three were by double digits while the Mercury’s only win was by one point. Phoenix has been through injury roller coasters and doesn’t have a coach who can make similar adjustments to the Lynx’s Cheryl Reeves. This should be a quick series.

Prediction: Lynx win series 2-0

#1 New York Liberty v. #8 Atlanta Dream

Another easy series to predict. The only fun part was wondering which team would get the last playoff seed. New York has their starting five back at full health and will roll over the Dream. Unless it’s the only series on at the time, there’s no point wondering who advances.

Prediction: Liberty win series 2-0

#3 Connecticut Sun v. #6 Indiana Fever

The Sun and Fever have played each other better since June. Now it’s time to see how Indiana fares in their return to the playoffs.

Indiana’s back in the playoffs after a six year drought. Unfortunately they drew the meanest and most physical team for the first round. Connecticut went all-in at the trade deadline and views anything less than a championship as a failure.

The young Fever could steal a game, but the lockdown defense from Alyssa Thomas, DiJonai Carrington and DeWanna Bonner will force Indiana into more mistakes. The Fever defense is still one of the league’s worst and will be exploited by the Sun’s veteran offense.

Prediction: Sun win series 2-1

#4 Las Vegas Aces v. #5 Seattle Storm

Seattle’s Skylar Diggins-Smith has enjoyed a better year in the Emerald City.

One almost feels bad for Seattle. The Storm had a great season and might have drawn an easier first round opponent if Vegas didn’t stumble for half the season.

The Aces dominated Seattle in three of their four games. Center A’ja Wilson might have one of the best playoff series of her career, extending her unanimous MVP season.

Prediction: Aces win series 2-1

2024 NBA Finals Prediction

The conference finals went faster than many expected. Dallas dominated Minnesota in five games while Boston swept Indiana. The Celtics lost only two games in three eastern conference matchups. Whoever wins this year’s championship deserves the praise and accolades. It’s time to break down which franchise has the best chance of winning a championship and raising a banner in the NBA’s 77th season.

#5 Dallas Mavericks v. #1 Boston Celtics

Boston and Dallas quickly eliminated the young and inexperienced Pacers and Timberwolves in the conference finals. After not playing for at least a week, both teams will start a chess match of a championship series. While there are many similarities with the star duos and both head coaches are in their first finals, the Celtics and Mavericks differ in roster depth, veteran experience in previous finals appearances and the number of possible adjustments.

Both Dallas and Boston have great guard duos, but the Celtics can counter with their talent at center and forward.

Dallas extending this series depends on how well elite guard duo Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving perform. Forwards P.J. Washington and Maxi Kleber have to play their best series with how much depth and talent Boston has at center and forward. Coach Jason Kidd must decide early in the series which offensive matchups he likes best and how the Mavericks will capitalize on more scoring opportunities.

There couldn’t be more pressure on coach Joe Mazzulla to win this round. Boston has more than size and experience advantages. It’s possible we see Derrick White guarding Doncic and Jrue Holiday locking down Irving most of the series. Dallas center Daniel Gafford will struggle against Kristaps Porzingis or Al Horford, no matter who starts. Last but not least, the Mavericks have no answer for the forward duo of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown.

Boston’s roster depth makes this a fast series. Coach Jason Kidd is limited in moves and matchup changes before the Celtics inevitably tire Dallas’ younger roster and secure a comfortable finals victory.

Prediction: Boston Celtics defeat Dallas 4-1 and win their 18th Larry O’Brien Trophy

2024 total playoff predictions record: 10-4

2024 NBA Western Conference Final Prediction

The remaining two teams in the west had a long and fun second round. Dallas and Minnesota were more committed and better coached than the star-studded teams in Denver and Oklahoma City. While the Mavericks are on a roll, there’s a lot of hype on the Timberwolves after they eliminated the defending champion Nuggets. One of these two teams must advance to the championship round. Time to break down which one has the best chance to represent the west in the finals.

#5 Dallas Mavericks v. #3 Minnesota Timberwolves

A new era of the NBA is upon us. Get ready for the Luka Doncic v. Anthony Edwards narratives. Both players aren’t just franchise stars, they’re new faces the NBA wants to see take over the game in and outside the U.S.

While Minnesota won the regular season series 3-1, the one loss came when guard Kyrie Irving (white) played for Dallas.

Both teams have great guard duos and two-way production from their centers at both ends of the court. Everyone wants to watch Mavericks point-guard Luka Doncic and shooting-guard Kyrie Irving take on Timberwolves point-guard Mike Conley and shooting guard Anthony Edwards for at least six games. The older Irving and Conley will have their hands full on defense while trying to facilitate and elevate their offenses. If Doncic and Edwards have low-scoring games, they still impact the players around them with their play-making and passing.

Minnesota has a slight advantage outside the guard positions. Power forward Karl-Anthony Towns stunned viewers out-performing improved Nuggets forward Aaron Gordon last series. The nine year veteran played well on offense and improved defensively against the Nuggets. Sixth man of the year Naz Reid plays better each round and Jaden McDaniels can be a thorn against any opponent. Dallas’ P.J. Washington has struggled in previous rounds while Derrick Jones Jr. will have a hard time with McDaniels alone. Coach Jason Kidd should adjust his forward depth by playing Maxi Kleber and Tim Hardaway Jr. for longer stretches of time.

Both teams mirror each other from coaching to bench depth. To stay consistent with the other conference finals pick, it’s a better decision to go with the more determined, veteran team. Yes, Minnesota has the fundamentals to beat Dallas this series, but the Mavericks have more pressure to make the finals.

Prediction: Mavericks win the western conference and series 4-3

Western conference playoff picks record after two rounds: 3-3

2024 NBA Eastern Conference Final Prediction

The remaining two teams in the east had an entertaining second round. Boston and Indiana were more committed and better coached than Cleveland and New York. The Celtics look unstoppable and the Pacers are on a roll led by coach Rick Carlisle. It’s the first time since 2011 Carlisle has both won a series and coached a team to a conference finals. They’re rewarded with a conference finals matchup against the league’s best team in Boston, who easily dispatched their first two opponents. One of these two determined franchises must advance to the championship round. Time to break down which one has the best chance to represent the east in the finals.

#6 Indiana Pacers v. #1 Boston Celtics

Jayson Tatum (white) and the Celtics get their first, true test of the playoffs against Indiana.

After two easy series, Boston finally plays a fully healthy opponent. Indiana may have gone a full seven game series against the injured Knicks, but the roster’s surging at the best time. The league’s best offense has maintained their high scoring despite playing shaky defense at times.

The Pacers have solid depth with forwards Obi Toppin and Doug McDermott. Without center Kristaps Porzingis the first two games, the Celtics will rely on their guard quartet of Jayson Tatum, Peyton Pritchard, Derrick White and Jaylen Brown to score more. Backup veteran center Al Horford could struggle against Indiana’s Myles Turner on both sides of the ball, so the Pacers have to take advantage of their matchups in the first three games if they want to be in the championship round.

Boston has reached the conference finals six of the last seven years, advancing to the finals just once. Indiana’s a great offensive team but inexperienced despite coach Rick Carlisle being in the conference and championship round last decade. Franchise star Jayson Tatum can easily pick the Pacers defense apart with or without Kristaps Porzingis in the lineup. It will be a fun series, but there’s little doubt who wins.

Prediction: Celtics win the conference and the series 4-2

Eastern conference playoff picks record after two rounds: 5-1

2024 NBA Eastern Conference Second Round Playoff Predictions

The first round was fun but didn’t have many surprises or upsets. Cleveland overcame an 18 point deficit (the largest game seven comeback in NBA history) to beat Orlando in a full, seven game series. Boston took care of Miami in five games. New York and Indiana have advanced further than at any point the past decade. The Pacers have a great offense and the Knicks a great defense to make a great series while the Cavaliers will be more of a challenge for the Celtics. Two of the remaining four will advance to the conference finals. Time to break down which of the two have the best chance to make round three.

#4 Cleveland Cavaliers v. #1 Boston Celtics

Donovan Mitchell (45) and the Cavaliers will be a tougher opponent against Jayson Tatum (0) and the Celtics than Miami was last round.

The easiest of the second round matchups, both teams are opposite in team depth, coaching and health. Cleveland center Jarrett Allen will be battling bruised ribs like he did at the end of round one. Depending on the minutes Allen plays, this could be another simple series for Boston. The Celtics might start veteran Al Horford at center if Kristaps Porzingis isn’t ready to play the first two games due to his calf injury. Sam Hauser and Payton Pritchard are important role players the Cavaliers have to stop in critical minutes.

Prediction: Celtics win series 4-1

#6 Indiana Pacers v. #2 New York Knicks

Jalen Brunson (blue) has to propel New York’s offense to the conference finals once their defense stifles the Pacers.

A refreshing matchup where both teams haven’t played in the NBA’s second round in at least a decade. Both Indiana and New York have talented young rosters and great coaches. The Pacers have a franchise star in point-guard Tyrese Haliburton and quality talent with center Myles Turner and forwards Obi Toppin and Pascal Siakam.

The Knicks have one of the best starting rosters in the league. Guard duo Jalen Brunson and Donte DiVincenzo have great chemistry going back to their Villanova days. Forwards OG Anunoby and Josh Hart play well together. Center Isaiah Hartenstein could determine the series with his solid play on both sides of the ball. New York plays great defense and well-rounded offense. Indiana’s been one of the best offensive teams in the league, but they don’t play defense well and that will hurt them this series.

Prediction: Knicks win series 4-1

Eastern conference first round playoffs record: 4-0

2024 NBA Western Conference Second Round Playoff Predictions

The first round was exciting and fun. Minnesota shockingly swept Phoenix. Denver barely led most of their four wins against the Lakers. Dallas and the Clippers had an entertaining series. Oklahoma City had no playoff jitters as they confidently swept the more experienced Pelicans. The Thunder and Mavericks will show viewers how close they are to becoming complete teams while Denver and Minnesota have the best second round matchup in either conference. Two of the remaining four teams will advance to the next round. Time to break down which of the two have the best chance to make the conference finals.

#5 Dallas Mavericks v. #1 Oklahoma City Thunder

Dallas and Oklahoma City have great guard duos. Forward and center play will determine who wins this series.

The Mavericks and Thunder have many similarities but many differences. They have great starting guards who score at will. They have young, dangerous centers starting to find their rhythm on both sides of the ball. Dallas and Oklahoma City also have starting forwards facing a lot of pressure to defend well and score better. Both coaches also know how to get the best out of their improving rosters.

The differences are in expectations. The Mavericks face growing pressure to make a championship run with star guard duo Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving playing their best basketball these last three months. The Thunder’s starting five is the youngest in the league and hasn’t faced adversity in the postseason. Doncic and Irving have enough experience to help center Daniel Gafford, and forwards P.J. Washington and Derrick Jones Jr. gain advantages on Oklahoma City’s center Chet Holmgren, and forwards Jalen Williams and Luguentz Dort. It will be interesting to see how both teams counter each other’s strengths and styles.

Prediction: Mavericks win series 4-2

#3 Minnesota Timberwolves v. #2 Denver Nuggets

Guards Jamal Murray (blue) and Anthony Edwards (white) will have one of the best series of their careers.

This could be the best NBA playoff series of 2024. Minnesota and Denver have split their last two regular season series and have the right players to counter each other. This could be the only Denver series we see a one-on-one matchup on Nikola Jokic, as he’ll be guarded by Timberwolves center Rudy Gobert.

Nuggets guard duo Jamal Murray and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope have as much skill as Timberwolves guard duo Mike Conley and Anthony Edwards. You could go as far to say Conley’s experience and better defense presents a problem for Denver. Since Gobert can do what most teams can’t and cover Jokic by himself, Minnesota can double cover Caldwell-Pope or Murray (depending on who’s playing better each game). Roster depth will be more important since Sixth Man of the Year winner Naz Reid can play well at both power forward and center for the Timberwolves, and Nuggets guard Reggie Jackson can play both sides of the ball well when Murray rests.

The winner of this series will be decided on the play of Minnesota star forward Karl-Anthony Towns against Denver forward Aaron Gordon. Gordon’s played better each postseason series since he was traded to the Nuggets in 2021. He can play physical on both sides of the ball and is a consistent rebounding threat. Towns is a great three point shooter, but his rebounding and preference of playing away from the basket and interior poses a problem Denver can exploit further into the series.

Prediction: Nuggets win series 4-3

First round western conference playoff predictions: 2-2