The semi-finals were fantastic. Both teams that advanced trailed at one point in their matches. It will be difficult for the final to surpass the excitement. The remaining two teams are the best and have few weaknesses. This is an elimination match, meaning overtime and penalty kicks will decide which team wins the championship. Before the pick is made, the numbers are for which team placed where in their assigned group. Here is the prediction for which team wins the championship and the UEFA Euros trophy.
1B Spain v. 1C England
Teenage star Lamine Yamal (red) surprised everyone by sniping a goal past the French defense in the semi-finals, leading a comeback victory for Spain.
This is an uneven matchup. Spain has won every match played, dominating on every side of the ball. England’s mostly struggled to score until late in matches. Spanish manager Luis de la Fuente has found the best players and has used roster depth as an advantage. English manager Gareth Southgate depends on multiple groups of substitutions to push England to a win. At least he finally figured out which players to put in their correct positions.
Match deciding factor: Dani Carvajal, Marc “Cucurella” Saseta, Robin le Normand, Jose Ignacio “Nacho” Fernández Iglesias and the Spanish defense v. Harry Kane, Bukayo Saka, Phil Foden, Cole Palmer and the English offense.
Both managers and teams must adapt and counter the deep rosters and substitutions made once the second half begins. England has the deeper offense while Spain has the deeper defense. Manager Luis de la Fuente has seen and gotten more out of La Roja’s roster while manager Gareth Southgate’s finally putting players (like Phil Foden) in their correct positions and continually botches playing time for star players (like captain Harry Kane).
Spain’s defense gets a boost with elite defender Dani Carvajal coming back from suspension. The defensive quartet of Carvajal, Marc “Cucurella” Saseta, Robin le Normand and Jose Ignacio “Nacho” Fernández Iglesias consistently disrupts the best offenses in Europe. Kane’s struggled with his hustle, positioning, and longer minutes most of the tournament while Phil Foden’s struggled to play different parts of the pitch. Fortunately for the Three Lions, Bukayo Saka and Cole Palmer have been the main playmakers in previous elimination matches.
England can’t give up the first goal of the match just to play catch up because they have the talent to do so at any given time. La Roja’s mastered how to attack every team this tournament and shuts down anyone on defense. Don’t be surprised if Spain dominates start to finish with little to no errors on either side of the ball.
Prediction: Spain wins 2-1 and takes home their fourth Euros championship trophy
The quarter finals were filled with anxiety and excitement. Three of the four matches went to overtime and two went to penalty kicks. It will be difficult for the semi-finals to be just as fun. The remaining four teams are the most competitive ones we’ve watched this summer. As mentioned in the last article, there are no draws nor points given from ties. Every round is elimination, meaning overtime and shootouts/penalty shots will decide winners. Before picks are made, the numbers are for which team placed where in their assigned group. Here are the predictions for which two teams advance to the title game.
1B Spain v. 2D France
Spain might be without captain Alvaro Morata and star defender Dani Carvajal, but the crazed Marc “Cucurella” Saseta has been one of the best players this tournament. “Cucu” is the engine keeping La Roja undefeated.
Not many people expected this matchup. After a fantastic match of football from Spain and host nation Germany, many audiences were treated to a horror show match between France and Portugal. Les Bleus still can’t score an offensive goal outside of penalty kicks in either regular or extra time. The frustration is taking a toll on coaches and players, with captain Kylian Mbappe saying in a Saturday interview he was, “tired” and had to leave the match due to fatigue. Manager Didier Deschamps even dropped midfielder Antoine Griezmann for the semi-finals due to his ineffective play.
Spain fortunately scores once a match, even if it’s in extra time. La Roja have their own roster issues with captain Alvaro Morata and star defender Dani Carvajal missing the match due to multiple yellows the previous weeks (Carvajal drawing a red last round didn’t help either), and Pedro “Pedri” Lopez out the rest of the tournament with a knee injury after German midfielder Toni Kroos tackled him.
Fortunately Spanish manager Luis de la Fuente has a lot of midfielders on the roster. He has to feel some relief in France’s offense lacking midfield presence and Mbappe struggling to use his vision around the pitch instead of attacking defenders. Mikel Merino pushed La Roja’s offense past Germany, and could get the start with fellow midfielders Fabian Ruiz, Rodri and Dani Ceballos before substitutions. De la Fuente playing backups in a victory against Albania also gives the team many options to attack a stout French defense.
Prediction: Spain wins 2-1 and advances to the finals
3D Netherlands v. 1C England
English keeper Jordan Pickford (1) has done his best to keep opposing teams out of the net more than once while the offense steps up late in matches.
Not many people had either team making it this far. If anyone’s stunned England’s made the semi-finals, it’s the viewers. The Three Lions made another comeback and surprised the Swiss in penalty kicks. Manager Gareth Southgate has used the three subs at the 80+ minute trick in two elimination rounds and both times they’ve worked. Southgate deciding the roster’s positioning has been tricky, but England’s depth and talent has worn down opposing defenses and opened up scoring opportunities.
Ronald Koeman’s Oranje improved since their private friendly. Cody Gakpo is the top player for the Netherlands while Wout Weghorst and Memphis Depay have improved and led the Oranje to key wins. Defensive mistakes have been fixed and transition offense looks better with the defensive trio of Stefan De Vrij, Virgil Van Dijk and Denzel Dumfries.
Roster depth will determine who wins and advances to the finals. England’s depth has been pivotal in their victories since the round of 16. Many criticize Gareth Southgate’s tactics of keeping a shutout for both sides until the 80th minute due to the offensive talent and poor positioning of certain veteran players. However, the substitutions made before extra time gives opposing managers more problems. This match could go to extra time but Netherlands doesn’t have the spare legs to keep a lead or take it to penalty kicks.
Prediction: England wins 3-2 and advances to the finals
What a fun, late June and early July for Euros play. The round of 16 filtered out another eight teams with championship aspirations. While most of the eight teams eliminated put up a fight, the remaining eight were better and deserved to advance to the quarterfinals. As mentioned in the last Euros article, there are no draws nor points given from ties. Every round is elimination. That means overtime and shootouts/penalty kicks decide the winners. Before picks are made, the numbers are for which team placed where in their assigned group. Here are the predictions for which four advance to the semi-finals.
1B Spain v. 1A Germany
Spain’s tactical takedown of Georgia reinforced the view La Roja is the best team in the tournament.
The quarterfinals begin with a bang on Friday. These are arguably the two best teams in the Euros.
Neither team has lost a match since the tournament began. While Germany has home-pitch advantage, Spain is undoubtedly the better team. When Georgia got an early lead last round against La Roja, Spain continued the offensive pressure and never let up. Die Mannschaft plays a great team game, but they struggle if midfielder Jamal Musiala doesn’t make the scoresheet.
Prediction: Spain wins 3-1
1F Portugal v. 2D France
Perhaps forward Cristiano Ronaldo’s mediocre play is due to the added pressure of this being his last Euros tournament. If it is, Selecao das Quinas could start someone else.
On paper, these two teams have the most potential of the remaining eight. Their performances say otherwise from offensive struggles to conservative substitutions. Portugal’s offense disappeared after a 3-0 shutout win versus Turkiye. The Selecao das Quinas didn’t score again until penalty kicks last round, while France struggled against Belgium despite Red Devils manager Domenico Tedesco’s poor tactics.
Portugal does have the best offensive depth of the two teams and plays stellar defense. If Selecao das Quinas can’t get past France, this will be a wasted Euros career finale for star forward and captain Cristiano Ronaldo.
Upset prediction of the quarter finals: Portugal wins in extra time 2-1
1C England v. 2A Switzerland
Unlike some talented teams, Switzerland’s been consistent in the tournament.
If there were doubts about England’s chances of repeating their Euros championship appearance after group play, they intensified in an extra time win against Slovakia. The Falcons led most of the match in regular time and the Three Lions looked helpless outside of manager Gareth Southgate’s three substitutions leading up to the 1-1 tie.
Switzerland is a quality opponent England has to match energies against for at least 90 minutes. Italy’s defense struggled against midfielder Granit Xhaka and the Swiss transition offense led by Ruben Vargas and Remo Freuler. Southgate has to figure out the best positions for England’s star players unless he wants goalkeeper Jordan Pickford leaping around half the match.
Prediction: Switzerland wins 3-1
3D Netherlands v. 2F Turkiye
Turkiye had the biggest upset in the round of 16 led by their aggressive offense and upper-pitch, shutdown defense. The Dutch must play their best against this rising team.
Almost everyone was shocked Austria was eliminated in the round of 16. Das Team proved they could play against the best even before the Euros. In the end, they never considered the Turks scoring early in either half. Defender Merih Demiral had the match of his life while forward Arda Guler became the third teenager in Euros history (after the aforementioned Ronaldo and Wayne Rooney) to score a goal and an assist.
The Netherlands improved against their round of 16 opponent Romania. Donyell Malen scoring multiple goals in any round boosts confidence for an inconsistent offense. The veteran Oranje have to strike early and keep offensive pressure if they want to make the semi-finals.
One of the worlds best sports tournaments starts Friday. UEFA Euro 2024 takes place in Germany from June 14th to July 14th. Six groups of four teams each will compete for as many points as possible to advance to the second round. A win results in three points, ties earn one, and zero for losses. Only two teams in each group move on to the round of 12. Here are the predictions for which teams in groups A through F have the best chances to make round two.
Group A: Germany, Switzerland
Host nation Germany hasn’t looked this strong in qualifying matches for over a decade. The DFB won three of their last four matches before Friday under new manager Julian Nagelsmann. Nagelsmann consistently gets the best out of the club since taking over autumn 2023. The roster retooling is another reason the Germans are considered favorites to at least make the semi-finals. Scotland stands little chance in the opening match while Hungary should worry about retribution from the last UEFA performance.
Switzerland’s first match against Hungary is a litmus test for how well they handle group A.
Hungary would be an attractive option if there wasn’t another veteran team in the first group. Switzerland’s experience presents multiple problems for the Hungarians. They also play each other first on Saturday. The Swiss understand this stage is played for points more than wins, so don’t be surprised if they’re more conservative depending on their opponent.
Group B: Italy, Spain
The reigning UEFA champions return with new manager Luciano Spalletti on the sidelines. Roberto Mancini’s resignation and hiring to Saudi Arabia presents some challenges for the team. While Spain’s offensive playing style will be the biggest test for the Italian team in round one, Albania will struggle and Croatia might crumble due to defensive holes and the number of older players on the roster. Italy not advancing to the second round would both shock and upend the round of 12 picture.
From left to right: Jorginho, Lorenzo Pellegrini, Gianluca Mancini and Giacomo Raspadori are a versatile quartet wanting to win back-to-back titles.
Spain’s the best choice after Italy, if not the presumed favorite of group B. As mentioned above, Croatia’s aging stars and questions on defense will be exposed against a Spanish team that dominates offensive time of possession (around 80%) each match. Last but not least, the former Yugoslav nation struggles in UEFA tournaments. It’s possible we know which two teams advance to the second round before anyone plays their third game.
Group C: England, Denmark
England’s brutal championship match loss in 2021 creates more pressure to pick up where they left off and try to surpass expectations. The Serbian and Slovenian teams are easy for casual fans to look past, but the British cannot with how hard both teams play. Coach Gareth Southgate has to keep the Lions sharp while forward Bukayo Saka and defenders Luke Shaw and John Stones ease back onto the roster. At least the players will be off social media (for as long as they’re not eliminated).
Manager Gareth Southgate has a lot of pressure to get better offense out of England while using enough creativity to get out of the group stage.
While the two former Yugoslav republics compete hard, Denmark has the best chance of advancing to round two. The Danes don’t play the physical Serbs until last and have England second. Depending how well England does against Serbia, Denmark could have the upper hand most of group play. Since most of team’s defenders and forwards hitting their prime, it would be a disappointment if Denmark doesn’t perform well. This might also be midfielder Christian Eriksen’s last UEFA tournament.
Group D: France, Netherlands
The most loaded group of the six. All four teams have a good chance of not just getting out of round one, but also getting out of round two with their high scoring offenses. Two teams stand out and get the nod here. French coach Didier Deschamps returns to the sideline, and that’s bad news for the other three. Even if France doesn’t win the group, the Austrians, Dutch and Polish will play their best against them in round one.
France had a target on their back in the 2021 UEFA tournament due to their World Cup success. While they didn’t win the World Cup championship in Qatar, the target remains.
Poland’s on the short end as forward and team leading scorer Robert Lewandowski will miss the first match against the Dutch. The Netherlands could start slow, but this is their best opportunity to leap up the standings. Austria’s on a roll with four wins and a draw in their last five matches. However the draw came against an improved Swiss team many expect to see in the second round. Playing France first and the Orange last is brutal timing unless both west European powers stumble through group play. That would be harder to say about the Netherlands since Ronald Koeman is the new coach and the offense has undergone drastic changes (even though midfielder Teun Koopmeiners is out for the tournament with a groin injury).
Group E: Belgium, Ukraine
Easily the weakest group, the Belgians should coast to the second round. A healthy Romelu Lukaku ensures Belgium takes first place.
Romelu Lukaku (10) scored four goals in a shutout of Azerbaijan last November in the UEFA qualifying round. Lukaku can score at will while Belgium has given up one goal in their last five matches.
It’s hard to pick which of the remaining trio advances. Romania, Slovakia and Ukraine have holes everywhere on offense and defense. Ukraine surprisingly stands out as the most competent of the three. They’ve performed well against better teams like Germany and Poland. Ukraine also gets Belgium last in group play while Slovakia plays them first. The Blue and Yellow could have the advantage of playing a Belgian team that has first place locked up by match three. This puts more pressure on Slovakia and Romania to be perfect every game.
Group F: Portugal, Czechia
The last and one of the funnest groups. Portugal’s led by ageless forward Cristiano Ronaldo and midfielder Bruno Fernandes. They are coincidently the best players in group F. The Portuguese defense is stout and shouldn’t allow many goals this round.
Portuguese midfielder Bruno Fernandes helped his home team clinch a spot in the UEFA tournament last year. He should continue a high scoring pace this tournament.
If they let in any goals, it might be against Czechia. The Czechs are undefeated this year in the friendlies and even scored seven in one match. While their first, true test of 2024 is against Portugal, group play eases up with an unknown Georgia and lackluster Turkiye the last two matches. Don’t be surprised if Czechia goes on a run similar to Switzerland’s in 2021.
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