2025 WNBA Finals Predictions

The WNBA semifinals were fun to watch. Las Vegas needed five games to eliminate Indiana while Phoenix won a thriller series against Minnesota in four. The Mercury lost only two games in two playoff matchups. The team that wins this year’s championship deserves the praise and accolades. It’s time to break down which one has the best chance of winning another championship.

#2 Las Vegas Aces v. #4 Phoenix Mercury

This should be a fun finals. Las Vegas and Phoenix have multiple All-Stars, MVPs, bench depth and top talent on their rosters. Both coaches get a lot of out of the roster talent and adapt well each quarter.

However, there’s no debate which team has more advantages. From pre-season to late August, the Aces have the Mercury’s number. Las Vegas coach Becky Hammon stays a few steps ahead of Phoenix coach Nate Tibbetts. Aces center A’ja Wilson dominates play on-court and media accolades and awards off-court compared to Mercury forward Alyssa Thomas. Las Vegas’ mid-season addition of forward NaLyssa Smith is the perfect counter to Phoenix’s mid-season signing of guard DeWanna Bonner. Hammon has better depth with guards Dana Evans and Jewell Loyd, center Kiah Stokes and forward Kiersten Bell than Tibbetts’ guard Alexa Held and forward Kathryn Westbeld.

One advantage the Mercury have is former finals MVP guard and forward Kahleah Copper. Copper played some of her best career basketball in a previous finals appearance with former All-Stars back in 2021. Despite her skillset, the veteran guard trio of Loyd, Jackie Young and former finals MVP Chelsea Gray will slow Copper down at some point in the series. Phoenix will go as far as Kahleah Copper and forward Satou Sabally can carry them before Las Vegas’ finals experience kicks in and closes the series.

Prediction: Las Vegas Aces beat the Phoenix Mercury 4-2 and win their third ever WNBA Championship trophy

Finals MVP: A’ja Wilson

First round prediction record: 3-1